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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harrison Bader is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On Batter - Doubles, our numbers say this bet wins about 99 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 99%, implied 94%, edge +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 9
Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 9
Under 1.50 SBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 1, 1:51AM UTC
MLB

Harrison Bader

MIN

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 1.5 -1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
+5.6% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Sun 21 Sep, 12:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
99 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 99.0% · the book's price implies 94.3% · gap +5.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles99.0%94.3%1.01+5.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Harrison Bader (MIN) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Harrison Bader to have under 1.5 doubles in the upcoming game is based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Bader has averaged zero doubles both overall and in away games. His batting average is also low, with only 0.4 hits overall and zero hits in away games. Despite his impressive current hit streak, Bader's recent lack of doubles and low hit rate suggest that he is unlikely to hit more than one double in the upcoming game. Additionally, his performance against the Diamondbacks specifically is also underwhelming, with an average of only 0.2 doubles and 0.4 hits over the last five games. Therefore, the statistics indicate that betting on Bader to have under 1.5 doubles is a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Harrison Bader is averaging 0.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.2
Runs
0.6
Walks
1.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Harrison Bader has gone over 1.5 total bases in 44% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.544%
o2.511%
o3.511%
o4.511%

Home / away and opponent splits

Harrison Bader is averaging 0.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.0 in away games, including his recent form against PHI.

0.4
Hits · Overall
0.0
Hits · Away
0.6
Hits · vs PHI
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs PHI
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harrison Bader (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harrison Bader is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday 21 September at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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