Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gage Jump is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 84%, implied 54%, edge +29.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 20, 10:29AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-119 (1.84) · $100→$184
+29.5% Edge
Athletics
@
Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Thu 20 Aug, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 834 of 1,649 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
84 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 83.9% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap +29.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 83.9% | — | 54.3% | 1.19 | +29.5% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
Gage Jump Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-119)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Kansas City Royals play Athletics in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Gage Jump Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-119). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
2 markets livePitcher - WalksUpcoming gameU 2.5 -189 Gage Jump MLB walks. Current line U 2.5 at -189.
Pitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming gameU 2.5 -119 Gage Jump MLB earned runs. Current line U 2.5 at -119.
Gage Jump is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gage Jump is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.5% on this pick. Their next game is Athletics vs Kansas City Royals on Thursday 20 August at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.