Curtis Mead (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-152)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Nationals prepare to host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Curtis Mead. While the young player has shown flashes of brilliance, recent trends suggest he might struggle to surpass 1.5 total bases today. The Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has been surprisingly effective, especially against right-handed hitters, limiting opponents to a .230 batting average this month. Mead, who often finds himself in the heart of the lineup, faces challenges against lefty Zac Gallen, whose impressive 3.20 ERA and high strikeout rate have kept hitters off balance.
Furthermore, the Nationals are mired in a slump, scoring just 3.4 runs per game over their last week and often leaving runners stranded. With an implied probability of just over 60% for Mead to stay under his total bases line, the stars seem to align for this bet. Today, expect the Diamondbacks' arms to keep Mead in check, making the under a compelling play.