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Curtis Mead

MLB

+2.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 1.5 -3333 (1.03)
+2.9% Edge
Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Thu 16 Apr, 4:35PM
Model Probability
100.0%
Implied Probability
97.1%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Curtis Mead (NA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pirates host the Nationals on April 16, all eyes should be on Curtis Mead's ability to find gaps in the outfield. However, betting on him to hit over 1.5 doubles feels risky. Mead has been struggling lately, hitting just .235 against lefties this season, and the Nationals' pitching staff has been surprisingly effective in limiting extra-base hits. With a solid 3.80 ERA, Washington’s rotation has been challenging for hitters to find their rhythm. Pittsburgh's lineup has also been inconsistent, failing to produce consistent power, especially in clutch situations. The combination of Mead's recent slump and Washington's ability to stifle opposing bats suggests that he’ll have a tough time racking up those doubles. Given the low implied probability of him exceeding that 1.5 mark, the under seems like a savvy play in this matchup. Keep an eye on the game, but expect a quiet day for Mead at the plate.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Total Bases 2.5 Under -385 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Curtis Mead is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Curtis Mead is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday 16 April at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.