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The latest Bet Better model pick for Charlie Morton is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 93%, implied 89%, edge +3.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 8:54PM UTC
MLB

Charlie Morton

BAL

+3.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -833 (1.12) · $100→$112
+3.8% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Fri 19 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 93.1% · the book's price implies 89.3% · gap +3.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks93.1%89.3%1.07+3.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Charlie Morton (BAL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Charlie Morton's recent performance data suggests that the Over 0.5 bet on Pitcher Walks Allowed is a solid choice. His last five games have seen him allow an average of 3 walks, both overall and specifically when playing away. This indicates a consistent tendency to concede at least one walk per game. Furthermore, Morton's innings pitched (IP) average is below 5, meaning he tends to spend less time on the mound, yet still allows a significant number of walks. His current hit streak, particularly 7 games away, also supports the likelihood of allowing at least one walk. Considering these factors, Morton's statistical profile aligns well with the Over 0.5 bet on Pitcher Walks Allowed.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Charlie Morton is averaging 6.2 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

6.2
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
5.0
Runs
3.0
Walks
4.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Charlie Morton has gone over 1.5 H in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.5100%
o2.5100%
o3.590%
o4.580%
o5.560%
o6.540%
o7.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Charlie Morton is averaging 6.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.0 in away games.

6.2
Hits · Overall
5.0
Hits · Away
1.0
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Charlie Morton (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Charlie Morton is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Detroit Tigers on Friday 19 September at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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