Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Charlie Morton is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 96%, for a model edge of +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
MLB

Charlie Morton

BAL

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -2500 (1.04)
+2.2% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Fri 19 Sep, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.4%
Implied Probability
96.2%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed98.4%—96.2%1.02+2.2%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Charlie Morton (BAL) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Charlie Morton's recent performance data supports the selection of Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market. In his last five games, Morton has averaged 6.2 hits allowed overall and 5 hits when playing away. This is significantly above the bet line of 1.5, indicating a strong likelihood of this trend continuing. Additionally, Morton's innings pitched averages are relatively low, with 4 innings overall and 4.9 in away games, suggesting he often allows hits early in the game. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further strengthen the case. With an overall streak of 24 and an away streak of 15, Morton consistently allows hits, making the Over 1.5 bet a solid choice based on his recent performance.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2085%
O 2.580%
O 3.550%
O 4.540%
O 5.540%
O 6.530%
O 7.520%

Charlie Morton MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak24L20100%
O 1.5100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.590%
O 4.580%
O 5.560%
O 6.540%

Charlie Morton MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak18L2095%
O 0.5100%
O 1.590%
O 2.550%
O 3.530%
O 4.510%

Charlie Morton MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
5avg earned runs · L5
Streak7L2060%

Charlie Morton MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 5 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
12.4avg outs · L5
L2075%

Charlie Morton MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 12.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Charlie Morton (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Charlie Morton is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Detroit Tigers on Friday 19 September at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks