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The latest Bet Better model pick for Byron Buxton is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 66%, implied 69%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 27, 7:35PM UTC
MLB

Byron Buxton

MIN

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
+0.1% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Athletics
Thu 27 Aug, 1:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 936 of 1,930 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
DAY-TO-DAY
Buxton (hip) is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Athletics.
updated Aug 26, 7:53PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
70 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.5% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits69.5%65.9%69.4%1.49+0.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/4
Last 10 games3/4

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AI Analysis

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Byron Buxton (MIN) Under 1.5 Hits (-227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Minnesota Twins roll into Oakland, all eyes will be on Byron Buxton, but betting on him to exceed 1.5 hits might be a stretch. While Buxton's athleticism and power are undeniable, his recent performance against left-handed pitchers—like the Athletics' ace—has been less than stellar. Over the past month, he’s struggled to find consistent contact, resulting in an unfortunate dip in batting average. The A's are also on a roll, boasting a solid bullpen that can stifle even the hottest bats. With Buxton's current batting metrics suggesting he could be in for a long night, the under on his hits feels like the wiser bet. The combination of the A’s tough pitching staff and Buxton's recent inconsistency paints a picture that favors the under here. It’s a gamble that leans more towards a quiet night than a hitting explosion.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Byron Buxton is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.2
HR
0.6
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.0
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Byron Buxton has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 67% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.567%
o1.50%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Byron Buxton is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in away games, including his recent form against PHI.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Away
0.3
Hits · vs PHI
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs PHI
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -227 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - Total Bases Pending
26 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics Batter - Doubles Pending

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About This Player

Byron Buxton (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Byron Buxton is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Athletics on Thursday 27 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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