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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alan Roden is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 100%, versus the book's implied 90%, for a model edge of +9.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 1, 8:34AM UTC
MLB

Alan Roden

MLB

+9.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -909 (1.11)
+9.6% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sat 1 Aug, 8:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
99.7%
Implied Probability
90.1%
Model Edge
+9.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks99.7%90.1%1.00+9.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/4
Last 10 games2/4

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AI Analysis

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Alan Roden Under 1.5 Walks (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners host the Twins, all eyes will be on Alan Roden, particularly in the batter walks department. Roden has been rather restrained at the plate lately, averaging less than one walk per game. With the Mariners facing a formidable Twins pitching staff led by a right-hander who excels at controlling the game, the chances of Roden drawing a free pass look slim. The Twins’ pitchers have been adept at limiting walks, sporting one of the lowest rates in the league. Add to that Roden's tendency to swing early in counts, and it’s hard to see him walking more than once here. With the Mariners fighting for every run in a tightly contested matchup, it'll be a battle of aggression versus patience. The trend heavily favors the under on Roden’s walks, with the odds leaning towards a strong likelihood of him finishing the game with zero or one walk.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 1.5 -909+9.6% edge

Alan Roden MLB walks. Current line U 1.5 at -909 (+9.6% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Alan Roden MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.525%
O 2.525%
O 3.525%

Alan Roden MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%

Alan Roden MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.525%

Alan Roden MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%

Alan Roden MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.525%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 1 · lo 0
011

Alan Roden MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -333 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -192 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -588 ✗ MISS
30 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Doubles Pending
30 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
30 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins Batter - RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Alan Roden is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alan Roden is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.6% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners on Saturday 1 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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