Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Anthony Kay is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 47%, edge +27.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 11:54PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Under 4.5
+115 (2.15) · $100→$215
+27.3% Edge
Cleveland Guardians
@
Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 629 of 1,212 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
74 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 73.8% · the book's price implies 46.5% · gap +27.3%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 73.8% | — | 46.5% | 1.35 | +27.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 3/10 |
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Anthony Kay (CHW) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Chicago White Sox play Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Anthony Kay (CHW) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+115). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Anthony Kay (CHW) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Anthony Kay is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.3% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox on Sunday 9 August at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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