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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Freeland is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +6.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 25, 9:44AM UTC
MLB

Alex Freeland

LAD

+6.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+6.2% Edge
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 9 Jul, 2:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
91.6%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+6.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs91.6%—85.5%1.09+6.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Alex Freeland (LAD) Under 0.5 RBIs (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers gear up to face the Rockies, all eyes will be on rookie Alex Freeland. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance, recent trends suggest he may struggle to drive in runs tonight. The Rockies' pitching staff has been revitalized lately, with their bullpen tightening up, posting a solid 3.50 ERA over the last month. Freeland, despite his potential, has yet to fully find his rhythm against left-handers, and with Colorado trotting out a southpaw, he might find himself stymied. Moreover, the Dodgers have been heavily reliant on their top-tier hitters, leaving little room for Freeland to capitalize on opportunities. With the team’s recent run production skewed towards their power hitters, it’s not surprising that the odds favor the under on Freeland’s RBIs. Expect a quiet evening for him at the plate, making the under a savvy play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -385 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -204 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alex Freeland (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Freeland is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.2% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 9 July at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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