SYSTEM STATUS: Online TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +394.5 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +518.5 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +278) WIN: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +134) WIN: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +131) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1075.8 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.5% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +125) WIN: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +131) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1107.2 units this season WIN: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +131) WIN: WON: Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +235) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +518.5 units this season WIN: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +132) WIN: WON: Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +252) WIN: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +116) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +394.5 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +518.5 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +278) RESULT: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +134) RESULT: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +131) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1075.8 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.5% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +125) RESULT: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +131) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1107.2 units this season RESULT: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +131) RESULT: WON: Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +235) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +518.5 units this season RESULT: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +132) RESULT: WON: Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +252) RESULT: WON: Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns (Collingwood Magpies @ +116)
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MLB

Alex Freeland

MLB

+24.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -204 (1.49)
+24.9% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Sun 5 Jul, 11:20PM
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Model Probability
92.0%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+24.9%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Alex Freeland (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers take on the Padres this Sunday, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Alex Freeland, but I’m leaning towards the ‘Under 1.5 hits’ for him today. While Freeland has shown flashes of talent, he’s facing a tough Padres pitching staff that has been on fire lately, limiting opponents to an average of just over three runs in their last five games. Furthermore, Freeland’s performance against left-handed pitchers has been inconsistent, batting just .220 in those matchups. With San Diego’s starter likely to be a southpaw, he’ll face a challenge bringing his A-game. The Dodgers’ lineup might get the headlines, but their recent trend of aggressive pitching means Freeland might struggle to find the gaps today. All things considered, taking the under seems like a smart play in what should be a tightly contested matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Alex Freeland is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Alex Freeland is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.9% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday 5 July at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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