MLB
MLB predictions for Saturday, September 26: the model leans Giants
12 MLB games on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Giants +2.5, a LEAN-confidence call.
By Samantha Chen · Published Sep 25, 12:00 AM ET · Updated Sep 26, 8:25 PM ET
Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers
Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers
Sat Sep 26, 1:10 PM ET
Our pick: Under 9 runs-114
LEAN — about a 4 in 10 chance by our numbers
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a tough time hitting home runs at PNC Park, and the trend continues as they face the Detroit Tigers.
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
Sat Sep 26, 3:07 PM ET
Our pick: Reds +1 (they must not lose; lose by exactly 1 and your stake comes back)-111
LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers
The Toronto Blue Jays have struggled lately, winning only 1 of their last 6 games and losing 3 straight on the road.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
Sat Sep 26, 4:05 PM ET
Top pick: Giants +2.5 (they can lose by up to 2 and the bet still wins)-115
LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers
The San Francisco Giants have been solid lately, especially in their home games at Oracle Park, where home runs are much less common.
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Sat Sep 26, 4:06 PM ET
New York Mets at Washington Nationals · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Sat Sep 26, 4:10 PM ET
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins
Sat Sep 26, 4:10 PM ET
Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
Sat Sep 26, 7:10 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
Sat Sep 26, 7:10 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox
Sat Sep 26, 7:11 PM ET
Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Sat Sep 26, 7:15 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Sat Sep 26, 8:40 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
Sat Sep 26, 9:40 PM ET
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games
Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.
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