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MLB predictions for Saturday, September 26: the model leans Giants

12 MLB games on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Giants +2.5, a LEAN-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Saturday, September 26. See today's MLB predictions

Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers

Sat Sep 26, 1:10 PM ET
Our pick: Under 9 runs-114

LEAN — about a 4 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a tough time hitting home runs at PNC Park, and the trend continues as they face the Detroit Tigers.

Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays

Sat Sep 26, 3:07 PM ET
Our pick: Reds +1 (they must not lose; lose by exactly 1 and your stake comes back)-111

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Toronto Blue Jays have struggled lately, winning only 1 of their last 6 games and losing 3 straight on the road.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants

Sat Sep 26, 4:05 PM ET
Top pick: Giants +2.5 (they can lose by up to 2 and the bet still wins)-115

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The San Francisco Giants have been solid lately, especially in their home games at Oracle Park, where home runs are much less common.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals

Sat Sep 26, 4:06 PM ET
New York Mets at Washington Nationals · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

Sat Sep 26, 4:10 PM ET
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins

Sat Sep 26, 4:10 PM ET
Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals

Sat Sep 26, 7:10 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

Sat Sep 26, 7:10 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox

Sat Sep 26, 7:11 PM ET
Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies

Sat Sep 26, 7:15 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

Sat Sep 26, 8:40 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners

Sat Sep 26, 9:40 PM ET
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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