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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
San Diego Padres

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 6:08AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Petco Park, San Diego
Outdoor
Wed 29 Jul 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
80.0%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
San Diego Padres -3 Spread +850

The model graded 70 markets for Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $950 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 80.0% across 20 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 29 Jul 2026, 8:10PM at Petco Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win33.7%
The price says10.5%
Best price+850
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread San Diego Padres -3 Long-shot34% chance +850
Spread Long-shot21% chance
Spread Long-shot18% chance
Spread Long-shot22% chance
Spread Long-shot17% chance
Spread Long-shot20% chance
Spread Long-shot29% chance
Spread Long-shot15% chance
Moneyline High62% chance
Batter - Hits × 10 props Highup to 98%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 8 props Highup to 99%
Batter - Total Bases × 8 props Highup to 100%
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 99%
Batter - Walks × 5 props Highup to 100%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
San Diego Padres
-5.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Mason Adams SP

San Diego Padres

  • Nick Pivetta SPOut
  • Gavin Sheets 1BOut
  • Luis Rengifo LFOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Joe Musgrove SPOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Jason Adam RPOut
  • Miguel Andujar DHOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Probable pitcher

Robbie Ray SP
Availability updated Aug 31, 12:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Manny Machado SDP Batter - Hits
Luis Campusano SDP Batter - Hits
Manny Machado SDP Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Xander Bogaerts SDP Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Willi Castro DET Batter - Total Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Diego PadresNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.6Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L53-2Free board16-9

San Diego Padres moneyline form: last five 3-2, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Diego Padres run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.6Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

San Diego Padres spread form: last five 3-2, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Diego Padres vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

San Diego Padres total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Diego Padres team totalNo line posted
1.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.6Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

San Diego Padres team total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.6 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres — recent results

San Diego Padres have won 1 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5.

San Diego Padres — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–5TBAway
L6–7TBAway
L4–9TBAway
L0–1PITHome
W3–0PITHome
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3ATLAway
L1–2ATLAway
L4–6ATLAway
L1–7WSHAway
W13–1WSHAway

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: San Diego Padres won 8, Colorado Rockies won 2.

DateSan Diego PadresColorado RockiesWinner
Jul 2987San Diego Padres
Jul 2931San Diego Padres
Apr 2338Colorado Rockies
Apr 23108San Diego Padres
Apr 2210San Diego Padres
Apr 1295San Diego Padres
Apr 1272San Diego Padres
Apr 1152San Diego Padres
Apr 1073San Diego Padres
Mar 2139Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

San Diego Padres
PlayerStatus
Nick Pivetta SPOUT
Gavin Sheets 1BOUT
Luis Rengifo LFOUT
Jeremiah Estrada RPOUT
Joe Musgrove SPOUT
Lucas Giolito SPOUT
Jason Adam RPOUT
Miguel Andujar DHOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Manny Machado. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.

Manny Machado (SDP) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
20
Total Picks
80.0%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
29 Jul 26 Moneyline San Diego Padres ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Spread San Diego Padres -2.5 ✗ MISS
29 Jul 26 Spread San Diego Padres -3.5 ✗ MISS
29 Jul 26 Spread San Diego Padres -1.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Spread San Diego Padres -1 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 6 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 7 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 10 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 9 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 11 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Padres, or as Padres vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 29 July 2026 at Petco Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 80.0% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 55 meetings on record
San Diego Padres 34–21 across the last 55 meetings · these games average 9.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
29 Jul 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres8–7San Diego Padres
28 Jul 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres8–7San Diego Padres
23 Apr 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies8–3Colorado Rockies
22 Apr 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies0–1San Diego Padres
21 Apr 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies0–1San Diego Padres
12 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres7–2San Diego Padres
11 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres5–2San Diego Padres
10 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres5–2San Diego Padres
9 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres7–3San Diego Padres
21 Mar 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres3–9Colorado Rockies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 55 meetings on file.

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