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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
San Diego Padres

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 7:58PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Petco Park, San Diego
Outdoor
Sun 12 Apr 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Colorado Rockies 3 (Spread)
For Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres (MLB), model win probability 76.5%, fair odds 1.31, book price +600, model edge +62.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 12 Apr 2026, 8:10PM at Petco Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Colorado Rockies
5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Freeland SP

San Diego Padres

  • Nick Pivetta SPOut
  • Miguel Andujar DHOut
  • Joe Musgrove SPOut
  • David Morgan RPOut
  • Samad Taylor LFOut
  • Jason Adam RPOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Yu Darvish SPOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Probable pitcher

JP Sears SP
Availability updated Jul 21, 12:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Diego PadresNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1Win rec9-5

San Diego Padres moneyline form: last five 3-2, 6.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Diego Padres run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1ATS8-8

San Diego Padres spread form: last five 3-2, 6.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Diego Padres vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

San Diego Padres total runs form: last five 3-2, 6.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Diego Padres team totalNo line posted
4.5implied team total
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

San Diego Padres team total runs form: last five 3-2, 6.6 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres — model preview

<p>Deep dive into San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.</p>

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies : Colorado Rockies +5 (-667)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
12 Apr 26 Spread Colorado Rockies 5 ✗ MISS
12 Apr 26 Spread Colorado Rockies 5.5 ✗ MISS
12 Apr 26 Spread Colorado Rockies 1 ✗ MISS
12 Apr 26 Spread Colorado Rockies 3 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 12 April 2026 at Petco Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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