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Model picks & player props
Chicago Cubs
VS
New York Mets

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 1, 1:23PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Mon 22 Jun 2026, 11:10PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Mets -2 (Spread)
For Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets (MLB), model win probability 37.1%, fair odds 2.70, book price +265, model edge +9.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Mon 22 Jun 2026, 11:10PM at Citi Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
New York Mets
-3
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Hoby Milner RPOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Daniel Palencia RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Ethan Roberts RPOut
  • Matt Shaw RFOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Shota Imanaga SP

New York Mets

  • Cionel Perez RPOut
  • Clay Holmes SPOut
  • Juan Soto LFOut
  • Justin Hagenman RPOut
  • Mark Vientos 1BOut
  • Dedniel Nunez RPOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Kodai Senga SP
Availability updated Jul 31, 11:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA1.6Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L53-2Win rec4-6

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA1.6Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L53-2ATS5-9

New York Mets spread form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
3.3implied team total
L5 RF5.4L5 RA1.6Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L53-2

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Mets are scoring 3.4 runs per game (2-3) while Chicago Cubs are at 6.6 (4-1); New York Mets pitchers are allowing 3.4 earned runs per game versus 2.6 for Chicago Cubs.

3.4
New York Mets runs/G
6.6
Chicago Cubs runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York MetsChicago Cubs
Runs / game3.46.6
Hits / game5.26.8
Home runs / game0.80.6
Walks drawn / game0.83.2
Batter K / game3.42.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.42.6
Pitching K / game4.82.6
Walks allowed / game1.81.2
L5 record2-34-1

Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning baseball bets for New York Mets playing Chicago Cubs. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs stats and odds.</p>

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs : New York Mets Win (-104)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs : New York Mets -1.5 (+196)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs : New York Mets +1.5 (-167)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs : New York Mets +1 (-143)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs : New York Mets -1 (+146)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs : New York Mets +1.5 (-175)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Monday 22 June 2026 at Citi Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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