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Model picks & player props
Atlanta Braves
VS
New York Mets

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:33PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Wed 29 Jul 2026, 5:10PM
0
Game markets graded
50
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Atlanta Braves

  • Robert Suarez RPOut
  • Reynaldo Lopez RPOut
  • Spencer Strider SPOut
  • Spencer Schwellenbach SPOut
  • Joe Jimenez RPOut
  • Joey Wentz RPOut

Probable pitcher

Grant Holmes SP

New York Mets

  • Cionel Perez RPOut
  • Austin Warren RPOut
  • Juan Soto LFOut
  • Justin Hagenman RPOut
  • Mark Vientos 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Sean Manaea SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 5:35PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Marcus Semien TOR Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ozzie Albies ATL Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Matt Olson ATH Batter - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Christian Scott NYM Pitcher - Hits Allowed 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 50 betting markets for Atlanta Braves at New York Mets — 0 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 50 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games; Atlanta Braves have won 3 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W11–1PITAway
L0–9PITAway
W6–4PITAway
W13–6CLEAway
W6–5CLEAway
Atlanta Braves — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1NYYAway
L4–5NYYAway
L2–3NYYAway
W11–3MIAHome
W4–1MIAHome

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: New York Mets won 6, Atlanta Braves won 4.

DateNew York MetsAtlanta BravesWinner
Jul 2932New York Mets
Jul 2901Atlanta Braves
Jul 27143New York Mets
Jul 676New York Mets
Jul 5314Atlanta Braves
Jul 5109New York Mets
Jul 335Atlanta Braves
Jun 1481New York Mets
Jun 1313Atlanta Braves
Jun 1275New York Mets

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Cionel Perez RPOUT
Austin Warren RPOUT
Juan Soto LFOUT
Justin Hagenman RPOUT
Mark Vientos 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Atlanta Braves
PlayerStatus
Robert Suarez RPOUT
Reynaldo Lopez RPOUT
Spencer Strider SPOUT
Spencer Schwellenbach SPOUT
Joe Jimenez RPOUT
Joey Wentz RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets — model preview

Deep dive into New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Francisco Alvarez. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves stats and odds.

Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Braves vs Mets, or as Mets vs Braves. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 29 July 2026 at Citi Field. The model has generated 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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