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Model picks & player props
Baltimore Orioles
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 3:51AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Mon 19 May 2025, 11:40PM
20
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 10.5 Total Runs -213

The model graded 24 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $147 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 19 May 2025, 11:40PM at American Family Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win78.2%
The price says68.0%
Best price-213
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 10.5 High78% chance -213
Total Runs High92% chance
Total Runs High89% chance
Total Runs High86% chance
Total Runs High83% chance
Total Runs High73% chance
Total Runs High96% chance
Total Runs High94% chance
Total Runs High98% chance
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 93%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 94%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 95%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
13
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Pete Alonso 1BDay-to-day
  • Samuel Basallo CDay-to-day
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Chris Bassitt SP

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Abner Uribe RPOut
  • JoJo Romero RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Joel Kuhnel RPOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Dustin May SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 11:30PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Dean Kremer BAL Pitcher - Strikeouts
Cedric Mullins BAL Batter - Stolen Bases
Christian Yelich MIL Batter - Stolen Bases
Dean Kremer BAL Pitcher - Hits Allowed

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.2Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L51-4Free board10-8

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.2Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L51-4

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

Milwaukee Brewers total runs form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
0.9runs we expect
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.2Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L51-4

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ Milwaukee Brewers — what the model found

Our model graded 24 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at Milwaukee Brewers — 20 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 24 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 23 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent results

Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 3 of their last 5.

Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3TEXHome
W6–1TEXHome
W8–2NYMAway
W8–1NYMAway
L2–3NYMAway
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3ATHAway
L5–7STLAway
W8–7STLAway
W13–1STLAway
L1–3TBHome

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Abner Uribe RPOUT
JoJo Romero RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Joel Kuhnel RPOUT
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Pete Alonso 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Samuel Basallo CDAY-TO-DAY
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Felix Bautista RPOUT
Colin Selby RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Keegan Akin RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Brewers, or as Brewers vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Monday 19 May 2025 at American Family Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 9 meetings on record
Milwaukee Brewers 6–3 across the last 9 meetings · these games average 10.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
21 May 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Milwaukee Brewers4–8Baltimore Orioles
20 May 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Milwaukee Brewers5–2Milwaukee Brewers
19 May 2025Baltimore Orioles @ Milwaukee Brewers5–4Milwaukee Brewers
14 Apr 2024Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles6–4Baltimore Orioles
13 Apr 2024Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles5–11Milwaukee Brewers
12 Apr 2024Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles1–11Milwaukee Brewers
8 Jun 2023Baltimore Orioles @ Milwaukee Brewers3–6Baltimore Orioles
7 Jun 2023Baltimore Orioles @ Milwaukee Brewers10–2Milwaukee Brewers
6 Jun 2023Baltimore Orioles @ Milwaukee Brewers4–3Milwaukee Brewers
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