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Model picks & player props
Baltimore Orioles
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:09PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Mon 19 May 2025, 11:40PM
20
Game Picks
4
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 8.5 (Total Runs)
For Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers (MLB), model win probability 56.1%, fair odds 1.78, book price +100, model edge +6.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Mon 19 May 2025, 11:40PM at American Family Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Under
8.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Adley Rutschman COut
  • Samuel Basallo CDay-to-day
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Chris Bassitt SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Shane Baz SP

Milwaukee Brewers

  • DL Hall RPOut
  • Kyle Harrison SPOut
  • Brandon Lockridge LFOut
  • David Hamilton 3BOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Sal Frelick RFOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Joel Kuhnel RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski SP
Availability updated Jul 20, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Dean Kremer BAL Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Cedric Mullins BAL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Christian Yelich MIL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Dean Kremer BAL Pitcher - Hits Allowed 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L55-0Win rec6-6

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L55-0ATS5-9

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

Milwaukee Brewers total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
3.6implied team total
L5 RF5.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L55-0

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Monday 19 May 2025 at American Family Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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