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Model picks & player props
Chicago Cubs
VS
Chicago White Sox

Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 11:40PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Fri 25 Jul 2025, 11:40PM
2
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Chicago Cubs Moneyline -189

The model graded 7 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $153 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 25 Jul 2025, 11:40PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win67.0%
The price says65.4%
Best price-189
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Chicago Cubs High67% chance -189
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 91%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 93%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 95%
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 96%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago CubsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Shota Imanaga SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Tyler Schweitzer RPOut
  • Davis Martin SPOut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Jordan Hicks SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 11:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 25 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability25 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Shota Imanaga CHC Pitcher - Walks
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Nico Hoerner CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Shota Imanaga CHC Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Shota Imanaga CHC Pitcher - Strikeouts

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs Chicago Cubs L52-3Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs Chicago Cubs L52-3

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
1.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs Chicago Cubs L52-3

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox — 2 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–4MINAway
W3–2MINAway
W10–4TEXHome
W11–7TEXHome
L2–11TEXHome
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W17–5CINHome
L8–10CINHome
L4–5ARIAway
L0–2ARIAway
W7–0ARIAway

Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 6, Chicago Cubs won 3.

DateChicago White SoxChicago CubsWinner
Aug 1934Chicago Cubs
Aug 1930Chicago White Sox
Aug 1857Chicago Cubs
May 1798Chicago White Sox
May 1683Chicago White Sox
May 15510Chicago Cubs
Mar 1342Chicago White Sox
Mar 151Chicago White Sox
Feb 2081Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

25 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Tyler Schweitzer RPOUT
Davis Martin SPOUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Joey Bart COUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Dansby Swanson SSOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Chicago White Sox playing Chicago Cubs. Includes analysis on key players like Ian Happ. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs stats and odds.

Ian Happ (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Ian Happ for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a strong choice due to Happ's consistent performance in recent games. His overall hit average in the last five games is 2.2, demonstrating his ability to make contact with the ball. His performance away from home is also commendable, with an average of 1.6 hits in the last five away games. In addition, he has maintained a hit streak of 2 overall and 3 in away games, indicating a consistent level of performance. Furthermore, against the White Sox, Happ has an average of 1.6 hits, showing his proficiency against this specific opponent. Therefore, based on his performance data, the bet on Ian Happ for Over 0.5 hits is a statistically sound choice.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Sox, or as Sox vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Friday 25 July 2025 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 2 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 31 meetings on record
Chicago Cubs 20–9 across the last 31 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 10.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs4–3Chicago Cubs
18 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs7–5Chicago Cubs
17 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs7–5Chicago Cubs
17 May 2026Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox9–8Chicago White Sox
16 May 2026Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox8–3Chicago White Sox
15 May 2026Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox5–10Chicago Cubs
13 Mar 2026Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox4–2Chicago White Sox
1 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs1–5Chicago White Sox
20 Feb 2026Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs1–8Chicago White Sox
27 Jul 2025Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox4–5Chicago Cubs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 31 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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