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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Baltimore Orioles

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 4, 7:25PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Tue 27 May 2025, 10:35PM
9
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 2.5 Team Total -345

The model graded 9 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $129 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 27 May 2025, 10:35PM at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win96.4%
The price says77.5%
Best price-345
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Over 2.5 High96% chance -345
Team Total Long-shot21% chance
Team Total High98% chance
Team Total High98% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 71 of 102 right (mlb batter hits overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 4
Alika Williams Over 0.5
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $196
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
1.5
+ 8 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Andre Pallante SPOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Leahy SP

Baltimore Orioles

  • Christian Franklin CFOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Zach Eflin SPOut

Probable pitcher

Shane Baz SP
Availability updated Sep 5, 12:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA2.0Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.4 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA2.0Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 1-4, 1.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
1.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.4L5 RA2.0Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.4 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 9 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Baltimore Orioles — 9 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 8 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–6BOSHome
L2–4COLAway
L5–6COLAway
W2–1COLAway
W5–3ATHAway
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–6LADAway
W13–8LADAway
L4–5PITHome
W4–1PITHome
L2–6PITHome

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 2, St. Louis Cardinals won 3.

DateBaltimore OriolesSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Aug 2757St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2687Baltimore Orioles
Aug 25131Baltimore Orioles
Mar 927St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 6210St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Christian Franklin CFOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Felix Bautista RPOUT
Colin Selby RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Keegan Akin RPOUT
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Andre Pallante SPOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Baltimore Orioles Over 0.5' for the Team Total Runs is a solid choice given the team's recent performance and the St. Louis Cardinals' defensive statistics. The Orioles have a strong recent home record, winning 4 of their last 5 games. They've also been scoring an average of 5.6 runs in their last 5 home games, which is significantly higher than the betting line of 0.5. In terms of batting, the Orioles have averaged 6.6 hits in their last 5 home games, indicating a good offensive performance. On the other hand, the Cardinals have allowed an average of 4.4 runs in their last 5 away games, which aligns with the Orioles' scoring ability. Given these statistics, it's highly likely that the Orioles will score more than 0.5 runs in the game.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 27 May 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 9 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 15 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 11–4 across the last 15 meetings · these games average 9.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
27 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–5St. Louis Cardinals
26 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–8Baltimore Orioles
25 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals1–13Baltimore Orioles
9 Mar 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–2St. Louis Cardinals
6 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles2–10St. Louis Cardinals
28 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles4–6St. Louis Cardinals
27 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles4–7St. Louis Cardinals
26 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles5–2Baltimore Orioles
22 May 2024Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals5–4St. Louis Cardinals
21 May 2024Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals3–1St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 15 meetings on file.

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