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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Baltimore Orioles

St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 14, 5:33PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Tue 27 May 2025, 10:35PM
9
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 2.5 (Team Total)
The model graded 9 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $129 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 96.4%, fair odds 1.04, book price -345, model edge +18.9%. Tip-off Tue 27 May 2025, 10:35PM at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 643 of 1,242 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 14
Under 7.5
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $212
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
9.5
+ 8 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Baltimore Orioles

  • Chris Bassitt SPOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
Availability updated Aug 11, 6:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1Free board9-9

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
1.6runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 9 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Baltimore Orioles — 9 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 8 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–7MINAway
W5–2MINAway
L5–9MINAway
W10–5TEXAway
L1–2TEXAway
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–1PHIHome
W2–0PHIHome
L5–6PHIHome
W7–4COLHome
W3–2COLHome

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Chris Bassitt SPOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Felix Bautista RPOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Colin Selby RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Keegan Akin RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Ramon Urias 3BOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals : Over 0.5 alternate_team_totals (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Baltimore Orioles Over 0.5' for the Team Total Runs is a solid choice given the team's recent performance and the St. Louis Cardinals' defensive statistics. The Orioles have a strong recent home record, winning 4 of their last 5 games. They've also been scoring an average of 5.6 runs in their last 5 home games, which is significantly higher than the betting line of 0.5. In terms of batting, the Orioles have averaged 6.6 hits in their last 5 home games, indicating a good offensive performance. On the other hand, the Cardinals have allowed an average of 4.4 runs in their last 5 away games, which aligns with the Orioles' scoring ability. Given these statistics, it's highly likely that the Orioles will score more than 0.5 runs in the game.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 27 May 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 9 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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