On October 25, 2026 our model has run Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Kyler Murray Under 20.5 Pass Completions (-109), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: Kyler Murray Under 20.5 Pass Completions (-109)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Minnesota Vikings are playing at home against the Indianapolis Colts, and this matchup is looking interesting. Kyler Murray, the Colts' quarterback, has been under pressure lately, facing extra rushers often. This could make it tough for him to complete passes. The Vikings are also better at throwing the ball than running it, which means they might focus on stopping the pass. With Murray's chances of completing fewer than 20.5 passes looking good, this bet makes sense. The Vikings have a solid defense, and they know how to handle opposing quarterbacks. Just keep in mind that the Colts might surprise us, as they are capable of turning things around.

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: Daniel Jones Under 19.5 Pass Completions (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

That pressure can make it harder for a quarterback to complete passes, which is why I like the under on his completions at 19.5. The Vikings have done well on grass, and their defense knows how to challenge pass-heavy offenses. While the Colts may not be a top-tier defense, they still have the potential to disrupt Jones' rhythm. With the matchup being so close, it's a bit of a gamble, but the odds are pretty fair. Just remember, it could easily go the other way if the defenses don't show up.

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: Josh Downs Under 4.5 Receptions (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For this bet to work, Josh Downs needs to catch fewer than 5 passes against the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings have been tough on receivers, especially at home, and they tend to limit opponents' passing games. This season, it looks like the Vikings are focusing on stopping the pass more than the run, which could lead to fewer chances for Downs to make catches. Another thing to consider is that the Vikings' quarterback faced extra pressure quite a bit this season. With a good chance of more defenders closing in, that could make it tricky for Downs to get open. While he might have the talent, the matchup isn't in his favor tonight.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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