New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks, October 25, 2026

The Miami Dolphins face the New York Jets, and the Dolphins have a strong chance to take this game. Miami's offense can be pretty explosive, which might put a lot of pressure on the Jets' defense. The Dolphins have been playing well lately, while the Jets are still working out some kinks in their game. Betting on the Dolphins to win seems like a solid choice here since they're the underdog with a real shot at victory. One risk to consider is how tightly matched these teams can be, especially since the Jets will be playing at home. Still, the Dolphins' recent form gives them a good chance to pull off the upset.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins: Geno Smith Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Geno Smith needs to keep his passing yards under 223.5 for this bet to win tonight. The Miami Dolphins have had a strong defense lately, which makes it tough for quarterbacks to find open receivers. Plus, the Jets are playing at home, but that doesn't guarantee an easy game for Geno, especially against a team like Miami. While our numbers show there's a good chance this bet will hit, there's always the risk that Geno might find his rhythm and surprise everyone. He's been up and down this season, and if he gets hot, it could lead to more passing yards than expected. But with the Dolphins' solid defense, staying under 223.5 seems likely.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins: Geno Smith Under 20.5 Pass Completions (-105)

For the Jets to win this game, Geno Smith needs to keep his pass completions under 20.5. The Dolphins have a strong defense that can make it tough for any quarterback, especially when they're on the road. With the pressure from Miami's defense and the home crowd, it's likely that Geno will struggle to hit that number. While Geno has had some good games, he can also have off days. This matchup is pretty close, and if Miami's defense brings their A-game, it could lead to fewer completions than expected. So, betting the under could pay off if the Dolphins can put the pressure on Smith tonight.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins: Malik Willis Over 6.5 Rushing Attempts (Alt) (-105)

Malik Willis has been showing some solid form lately, and he's been running the ball more often. The Jets' defense can be tough, but they have struggled against mobile quarterbacks like him. With the game being at home, he might get more chances to run the ball. Betting on over 6.5 rushing attempts seems like a smart choice since our numbers say it's a close call. The biggest risk is that the Dolphins' defense could limit his chances if they play really well. Still, if Willis gets into a rhythm, he can definitely reach that number.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.