On Wednesday 23 September 2026, Indiana Fever play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +0.5 on the Line, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Indiana Fever +0.5 on the Line (-112)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever need to keep up their strong play against the Minnesota Lynx tonight. Indiana has been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring over 100 points per game in their last 20 outings. They also have home court advantage, which can make a big difference. While Minnesota has also been winning lately, their recent form isn't as strong as Indiana's. The Fever's consistent scoring and solid performances give them a good chance to pull this off. The most concrete risk is that Minnesota is still a solid team and has been winning, so this game could be very close. Overall, Indiana seems ready to keep up their winning ways. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 186.5 Total Points (-154)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever have been on fire, scoring an impressive 101.1 points a game over their last 20 outings, but the Minnesota Lynx are no slouches either, averaging 91.3 points. However, both teams have shown a tendency to play strong defense lately, and with the Fever winning 8 of their last 10, they might prioritize defense at home. This makes the bet on total points going under 186.5 a solid choice. Just remember, the Lynx could surprise with their scoring, which is the biggest risk for this bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 22.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Napheesa Collier has been solid, but she might have a tougher time against the Indiana Fever. Both teams are scoring well, with Indiana putting up about 97 points a game recently. However, Collier's recent stats show she might struggle to hit the mark for points and assists. Our numbers suggest she's likely to stay under the 22.5 total. While the Fever have been strong, the matchup could be close. The Lynx also have a great record recently, but Collier's numbers in steals and three-point shots have dipped below her usual levels. With both teams fighting hard, this bet makes sense, but there's always a chance she could surprise us. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla McBride Over 20.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Kayla McBride has been on fire lately, helping the Minnesota Lynx score an impressive average of over 91 points a game. While the Lynx have won 7 of their last 10, the Fever have been just as strong, winning 15 of their last 20 games. This matchup is bound to be competitive, but McBride's scoring ability makes her a solid choice for this bet. There is a risk since both teams are closely matched, and McBride has been slightly less active in grabbing rebounds, averaging fewer than expected. Still, with her scoring talent and the Fever's high-paced game, betting on her to combine for over 20.5 points and rebounds feels like a smart pick. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Aliyah Boston Under 7.5 Rebounds (+109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever are on a hot streak, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring over 100 points a game recently, which means they're playing with a lot of confidence. On the other hand, the Minnesota Lynx have been solid too, winning 7 of their last 10, but they haven't been as strong in grabbing rebounds. Aliyah Boston from the Fever is expected to get fewer rebounds than usual, and our numbers suggest she might finish with under 7.5 for this game. One thing to watch is that both teams are pretty close in talent, making this a tough matchup. While Boston has been a key player, the Lynx's defense could limit her chances. So, while this bet has some good potential, it could go either way. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article