On Thursday 24 September 2026, New York Liberty play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream to Win, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Atlanta Dream to Win (-120)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Atlanta Dream come into this game on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 matches and 5 of their last 6. They've faced some tough teams, with a schedule that ranks in the middle among all clubs, but they've handled it well. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6, making this a close matchup. Both teams are performing well, but the Liberty have faced a slightly tougher schedule. The Dream have a little more rest and less travel, which might give them a slight advantage. The most concrete risk is that both teams are in great form, so it could easily go either way. Still, the numbers suggest the Dream have a good chance to come out on top here. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Liberty +2.5 on the Line (-122)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream are both on a roll, winning most of their recent games. The Liberty have done well against tough teams lately, winning 7 of their last 10. They're playing at home, which usually gives teams a boost. The Dream have also been strong, winning 8 of their last 10, but their recent opponents haven't been as tough as the Liberty's. This matchup looks really close, so taking the Liberty with a +2.5 spread seems smart. Just remember, the Dream might be tough to beat, and they could keep it close, making this a bit risky. It was priced at -122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 182.5 Total Points (-200)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

Both the New York Liberty and the Atlanta Dream have been strong recently, with the Liberty winning 4 of their last 6 and the Dream winning 5 of their last 6. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents overall, which could mean they struggle to score against solid defenses. Our numbers suggest the total points will be much lower than what's expected, around 163.2. The biggest risk here is that both teams are in good form, so they might surprise us with a shooting burst. Still, betting on under 182.5 points looks like a smart choice. It was priced at -200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Over 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For Angel Reese to hit over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists tonight, she needs to keep up her strong form at home. She averages 15.1 rebounds and assists combined at Barclays Center, which gives her a solid foundation. Plus, she has been great overall, averaging 11.9 rebounds at home. The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, so they'll likely keep the pressure on Atlanta. The Atlanta Dream aren't easy opponents either, having won 8 of their last 10. However, they have faced a slightly less tough schedule compared to New York. With both teams playing well, this could be a close game, and the risk is that Reese might not get enough minutes if things get tight. Still, her home numbers suggest she can shine tonight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tonight, Breanna Stewart needs to score fewer than 22.5 points and assists combined for this bet to win. While she has been great at night, averaging over 26 points and assists, she might struggle against the Atlanta Dream. They've also been playing well, winning 8 of their last 10 games. The biggest risk here is that Stewart often rises to the occasion in high-stakes games, and both teams are coming off strong performances lately. Still, with Atlanta's defense putting up a solid effort, it's possible she might not hit those big numbers. Let's see how it plays out! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhyne Howard Over 20.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Liberty are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games. That said, Atlanta Dream have been just as solid, winning 8 of their last 10. This matchup features two strong teams, but Rhyne Howard's performance stands out. He averages 25 points plus assists at night, showing he can really shine when the lights are on. For this game, betting on Rhyne Howard to score over 20.5 points and rebounds feels promising. He's shown he can step up his game, especially when playing at night. The biggest risk here is that both teams are playing well, making it tough to predict. Still, Howard has the skills to put up good numbers, so this bet is worth a look. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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