On Tuesday 22 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +15 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +15 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points each game this season. On the other hand, the Connecticut Sun have really struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 games and just 1 of their last 6. Despite this, the bet on the Sun +15 looks solid because they have a chance to cover the spread, especially since the Mystics may not win by as much as expected. The most concrete risk here is that the Mystics are still strong at home. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 160 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The bet needs both teams to score enough points to go over 160 tonight. The Washington Mystics are in good form, winning 6 of their last 10 games and averaging 83.5 points per game this season. On the other hand, the Connecticut Sun have struggled lately, winning just 2 of their last 10 games and putting up only 77.4 points per game on average. While the Mystics are looking strong, the close matchup means the Sun could surprise. Still, with Washington's recent scoring ability, it's likely they can push the total up. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 163.7, which gives a decent chance for this bet to hit. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kiki Iriafen Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Kiki Iriafen has been struggling lately, and the numbers show it. The Washington Mystics are scoring a solid 83.5 points per game, but Kiki has not been a key contributor. With the Connecticut Sun winning only 2 of their last 10 games and scoring just 77.4 points on average, the pace of this game might not suit her style. Taking the under on Kiki's points and rebounds at 25.5 seems like a smart bet. The Mystics have also been effective on defense, which could limit her chances. The biggest risk here is that Kiki could have a surprising game, but given her recent form, this bet feels solid. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shakira Austin Over 20.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Shakira Austin has been playing well lately, helping the Washington Mystics win 4 of their last 6 games. With the Mystics scoring an impressive 83.5 points a game this season, it's likely Shakira will contribute significantly in both points and assists. The Connecticut Sun, on the other hand, are struggling, winning only 2 of their last 10 games and averaging just 77.4 points. The biggest risk here is that Shakira might face tougher defense than expected. Overall, betting on her to get over 20.5 points and assists feels like a solid choice. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sonia Citron Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-112)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

For Sonia Citron to go under 24.5 points, rebounds, and assists tonight, she needs to have a quieter game. Right now, the Washington Mystics are on a roll, winning 6 of their last 10 games and averaging 83.5 points per game. Meanwhile, the Connecticut Sun have really struggled, only winning 2 of their last 10 and scoring just 77.4 points per game. This could mean fewer chances for Citron to rack up her stats. The Mystics are playing strong defense and have been doing a great job on the boards lately. Even though Citron is talented, she might find it hard to get her numbers against a team that's playing this well. The biggest risk here is how close these teams are in skill, but the Mystics' recent form gives them the upper hand. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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