Seattle Storm vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks (Paige Bueckers Key Factor): Full Match Breakdown & Bets

You can get Seattle Storm at +9.5 points, which gives them a nice cushion. They've struggled lately, winning only 1 of their last 6 games, but they've faced some tough teams along the way. Dallas Wings are on fire, winning their last 6 and scoring a lot, but any slip-up could make this closer than expected. The Storm have had a challenging schedule, which shows they can handle tough competition. The Wings might be strong, but Seattle's home advantage could help them keep it tight. The most concrete risk is that Dallas is scoring a ton, which makes them dangerous. Still, our numbers see a good chance for Seattle to keep it within 9.5 points today. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Paige Bueckers Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+110)

Paige Bueckers has been on fire lately, helping the Dallas Wings win six games in a row. But when it comes to shooting threes, she averages just under two per game at home. In this matchup against the Seattle Storm, who have struggled a lot this season, I think she might not hit that mark. The Storm have faced the toughest schedule lately, which makes scoring even more challenging. Since Bueckers puts up fewer threes when playing away, there's a solid chance she'll stay under 1.5 made threes tonight. Just remember, it's always possible she surprises us. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Flau'jae Johnson Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Flau'jae Johnson has been playing really well lately, especially at home, where she scores an average of 18 points per game. However, the Seattle Storm are having a tough season, winning just 2 of their last 10 games. They've faced some of the hardest teams in the league, which makes this matchup tricky for them. While the Dallas Wings are on a hot streak, winning their last 6 games, they might focus on team play against a struggling Storm. This leads me to think Flau'jae might not hit the 24.5 mark for points, rebounds, and assists. If Seattle struggles on defense, that might limit her chances to shine. It's going to be close, but the numbers suggest this is a solid bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dominique Malonga Over 27.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (+109)

Seattle Storm play Dallas Wings in the WNBA on Thursday 24 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dominique Malonga Over 27.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. It is on at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Seattle Storm v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.