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Model picks & player props
WNBA
PHX Arena, Phoenix
Indoor
Wed 29 Jul 2026, 10:11 PM ET
Golden State Valkyries
VS
Phoenix Mercury

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury and backs Over 159.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $250.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 159.5 total points
Over 159.5 Alt Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$25.00Best price+150
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win56.5%
The price says37.7%

The model graded 70 markets for Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $250 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 29 Jul 2026, 10:11 PM ET at PHX Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Over 159.5 Lean56% chance +150
Alt Spread Members only High63% chance Members
Alt Total Points Members only Lean58% chance Members
Spread Members only High69% chance Members
Total Points Members only High67% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High60% chance Members
3-Pointers × 3 props Highup to 83% Members
Pts+Reb+Ast (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 78% Members
Assists (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 80% Members
Points × 11 props Highup to 85% Members
Pts+Reb × 5 props Highup to 84% Members
Pts+Ast × 4 props Highup to 82% Members
Points (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 73% Members
Reb+Ast × 3 props Highup to 80% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Golden State Valkyries and Phoenix Mercury last met on Wed 29 Jul 2026: Phoenix Mercury won 91-89. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every WNBA game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Over
159.5
+150
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,063+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercurySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercurySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Golden State ValkyriesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Valkyries

  • Iliana Rupert COut

Phoenix Mercury

  • Kara Dunn GOut
  • Kelsey Plum GOut
  • Jovana Nogic GOut
Availability updated Sep 25, 1:38AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kahleah Copper PHX 3-Pointers
Monique Akoa Makani LA Pts+Reb+Ast (Alt)
Alyssa Thomas PHX Assists (Alt)
Kahleah Copper PHX Points
Kahleah Copper PHX Pts+Reb

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Golden State Valkyries @ Phoenix Mercury — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Golden State Valkyries at Phoenix Mercury — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury — recent results

Phoenix Mercury have won 3 of their last 5 games; Golden State Valkyries have won 3 of their last 5.

Phoenix Mercury — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L82–100LVHome
W87–86DALHome
L82–87DALAway
W94–91PORAway
W101–69TORHome
Golden State Valkyries — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W64–55ATLHome
W67–62ATLAway
L71–97ATLAway
L65–79ATLHome
W68–64ATLHome

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Phoenix Mercury won 1, Golden State Valkyries won 2.

DatePhoenix MercuryGolden State ValkyriesWinner
Jul 309189Phoenix Mercury
Jun 108187Golden State Valkyries
May 117995Golden State Valkyries

Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Phoenix Mercury
PlayerStatus
Kara Dunn GOUT
Kelsey Plum GOUT
Jovana Nogic GOUT
Golden State Valkyries
PlayerStatus
Iliana Rupert COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Golden State Valkyries @ Phoenix Mercury — model preview

Model-built preview and betting picks for Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury: our probability on every market, the value read, and where the edge sits.

The model's read: Over alternate_totals at 1.28 — we make it a 79% chance (+0.0% edge on the price).

Player angles the model likes:

  • Kahleah Copper Under 17.5 points at 1.91 — 85% by our numbers
  • DeWanna Bonner Over 14.5 points rebounds assists alternate at 1.56 — 85% by our numbers
  • Janelle Salaun Under 2.5 threes at 1.61 — 83% by our numbers

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Valkyries vs Mercury, or as Mercury vs Valkyries. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 29 July 2026 at PHX Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Golden State Valkyries 2–1 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 30 Jul 2026, Golden State Valkyries at Phoenix Mercury: the Mercury won 91-89.

DateGameScoreWinner
30 Jul 2026Golden State Valkyries @ Phoenix Mercury91–89Phoenix Mercury
10 Jun 2026Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries87–81Golden State Valkyries
11 May 2026Phoenix Mercury @ Golden State Valkyries95–79Golden State Valkyries

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