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Model picks & player props
MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:40 PM ET
Houston Astros
VS
Detroit Tigers

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers and backs Detroit Tigers -1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $320.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Detroit Tigers
to win by 2+ runs
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$32.00Best price+220
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.6%
The price says31.3%

The model graded 20 markets for Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $320 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:40 PM ET at Comerica Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Detroit Tigers -1.5 High71% chance +220
Spread Members only High62% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High84% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean56% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers last met on Sun 28 Jun 2026: Houston Astros won 7-5. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Detroit Tigers
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,419+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Enyel De Los Santos RPOut
  • Cristian Javier SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Daulton Varsho CFOut
  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Jake Meyers CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Detroit Tigers

  • Reese Olson SPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Colt Keith 3BOut
  • Troy Melton SPOut
  • Kyle Finnegan RPOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Jake Miller SPDay-to-day
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
Availability updated Oct 9, 6:24PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDetroit TigersNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L52-3

Detroit Tigers moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Run LineDetroit Tigers run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L52-3

Detroit Tigers spread form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

Detroit Tigers total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
4.0runs we expect
L5 RF4.2L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Houston Astros L52-3

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.2 runs/gm.

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers — recent results

Detroit Tigers have won 2 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5.

Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4PITHome
W4–3PITHome
W8–7PITHome
L2–4WSHHome
L1–3WSHHome
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7CHWHome
L3–6CHWHome
W13–2ATHAway
W9–0ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.0 runs per game (3-2) while Houston Astros are at 4.4 (4-1); Detroit Tigers pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 3.4 for Houston Astros.

4.0
Detroit Tigers runs/G
4.4
Houston Astros runs/G
Last 5 gamesDetroit TigersHouston Astros
Runs / game4.04.4
Hits / game5.45.0
Home runs / game1.00.8
Walks drawn / game2.20.8
Batter K / game5.01.4
Earned runs allowed / game1.83.4
Pitching K / game3.64.0
Walks allowed / game0.42.4
L5 record3-24-1

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Detroit Tigers won 2, Houston Astros won 5.

DateDetroit TigersHouston AstrosWinner
Jun 2857Houston Astros
Jun 2768Houston Astros
Jun 2680Detroit Tigers
Jun 2512Houston Astros
Jun 1724Houston Astros
Jun 1724Houston Astros
Jun 1693Detroit Tigers

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Reese Olson SPOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Burch Smith RPOUT
Parker Meadows CFOUT
Colt Keith 3BOUT
Troy Melton SPOUT
Kyle Finnegan RPOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Enyel De Los Santos RPOUT
Cristian Javier SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Daulton Varsho CFOUT
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Jake Meyers CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros stats and odds.

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros : Over 6.5 Total Runs (-233)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Astros. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 June 2026 at Comerica Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers head-to-head record

Final scores · 29 meetings on record
Detroit Tigers 15–14 across the last 29 meetings · these games average 9.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 28 Jun 2026, Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers: the Astros won 7-5.

DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers5–7Houston Astros
27 Jun 2026Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers6–8Houston Astros
26 Jun 2026Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers8–0Detroit Tigers
25 Jun 2026Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers1–2Houston Astros
17 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros4–2Houston Astros
16 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros4–2Houston Astros
15 Jun 2026Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros3–9Detroit Tigers
20 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers7–2Detroit Tigers
19 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers1–0Detroit Tigers
18 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers10–0Detroit Tigers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 29 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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