Andrei Iosivas (CIN) Under 18.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Andrei Iosivas for under 18.5 in the player reception yards market seems statistically sound given his recent performance and hit rates. Over the last 5 games, both overall and at home, Iosivas has not exceeded 18.5 reception yards, indicating a current downward trend in his performance. His overall hit rate over the last 10 games is 20%, and slightly better at home with a 20% hit rate. Furthermore, his overall hit rate is just over 40%, showing a sustained struggle to reach this mark. Currently, both his overall and home hit streaks stand at zero, further suggesting his inability to surpass the given point. The model edge of 0.109056713561176 also indicates a slight statistical advantage for this outcome. Considering these stats, the under 18.5 bet appears justified.

Tee Higgins (CIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Tee Higgins to score a touchdown anytime during the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Chicago Bears game appears risky based on historical data. Higgins has not scored in his last three games overall or at home. His overall hit rate in the last five games is 0/5, and his home hit rate is only slightly better at 1/5. Looking further back, he has only scored in one of his last ten games overall and half of his last ten home games. His overall hit rate is slightly better at 17/49, but his home hit rate is less encouraging at 8/22. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, are also at 0. Thus, despite the model edge of 0.047756278466937, the data suggests that betting on Higgins to score anytime is a high-risk bet.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears : Over 50.5 Total Points (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Over 50.5 in the 'totals' market for this game is supported by several key statistics. Firstly, the home team has been scoring an average of 23.2 points and conceding 32.4 points in their last 5 games, which totals to 55.6, easily surpassing the target of 50.5. Moreover, when playing at home, their score margin increases to an average of 62.8 total points (31.2 score for, 31.6 score against). The away team also contributes to this rationale as they're scoring an average of 24.6 points and conceding 21.2 in their last 5 games, totaling 45.8 points. While this is slightly under the target, their away performance sees this margin increase to 52.6 total points (22.2 score for, 30.4 score against). The model edge of 0.0417 also indicates that the model

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