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Model picks & player props
MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Mon 22 Jun 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
VS
New York Mets

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets and backs Chicago Cubs -2.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $410.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Chicago Cubs
to win by 3+ runs
Chicago Cubs -2.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$41.00Best price+310
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.1%
The price says24.4%

The model graded 20 markets for Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $410 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 22 Jun 2026, 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Chicago Cubs -2.5 Lean44% chance +310
Spread Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean60% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot20% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago Cubs and New York Mets last met on Mon 22 Jun 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Chicago Cubs
-2.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,662+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut
Availability updated Oct 1, 5:19PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L54-1

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L54-1

New York Mets spread form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
4.7runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L54-1

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at New York Mets — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4SDAway
L0–8SDAway
W6–2BOSAway
L0–2BOSAway
L3–4BOSAway

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Mets are scoring 3.4 runs per game (2-3) while Chicago Cubs are at 6.6 (4-1); New York Mets pitchers are allowing 3.4 earned runs per game versus 2.6 for Chicago Cubs.

3.4
New York Mets runs/G
6.6
Chicago Cubs runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York MetsChicago Cubs
Runs / game3.46.6
Hits / game5.26.8
Home runs / game0.80.6
Walks drawn / game0.83.2
Batter K / game3.42.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.42.6
Pitching K / game4.82.6
Walks allowed / game1.81.2
L5 record2-34-1

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: New York Mets won 0, Chicago Cubs won 7.

DateNew York MetsChicago CubsWinner
Jun 2534Chicago Cubs
Jun 24510Chicago Cubs
Jun 24310Chicago Cubs
Jun 2369Chicago Cubs
Apr 1912Chicago Cubs
Apr 1824Chicago Cubs
Apr 17412Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Justin Steele SPOUT
Shelby Miller RPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Porter Hodge RPOUT
Cade Horton SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for New York Mets playing Chicago Cubs. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs stats and odds.

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs : New York Mets Win (-104)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Mets, or as Mets vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Monday 22 June 2026 at Citi Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets head-to-head record

Final scores · 25 meetings on record
Chicago Cubs 14–11 across the last 25 meetings · these games average 9.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 25 Jun 2026, Chicago Cubs at New York Mets: the Cubs won 4-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
25 Jun 2026Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets3–4Chicago Cubs
24 Jun 2026Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets5–10Chicago Cubs
23 Jun 2026Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets6–9Chicago Cubs
19 Apr 2026New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs2–1Chicago Cubs
18 Apr 2026New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs4–2Chicago Cubs
17 Apr 2026New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs12–4Chicago Cubs
25 Sep 2025New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs5–8New York Mets
24 Sep 2025New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs10–3Chicago Cubs
23 Sep 2025New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs7–9New York Mets
11 May 2025Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets6–2New York Mets

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 25 meetings on file.

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