Spencer Strider (ATL) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Spencer Strider for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Strider has averaged 5.6 hits allowed overall and 4.8 hits allowed at home. This is significantly higher than the line set at 1.5. Furthermore, Strider's current hit streaks, both overall and at home, are 10 and 16 games respectively, indicating a consistent pattern of allowing hits. When facing the Phillies, Strider's average hits allowed is 4.2, again comfortably above the line. Despite varying innings pitched and outs averages, the consistent factor is Strider's tendency to allow more than 1.5 hits. This data-driven analysis suggests that the bet is a solid choice.

Spencer Strider (ATL) Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Spencer Strider's performance data strongly indicates a likelihood of achieving over 4.5 strikeouts. His last five games' overall average for strikeouts is 5.6, already above the line. When playing at home, his strikeout average further increases to 7.4, suggesting a home advantage. Against the Philadelphia Phillies specifically, his strikeout average soars to 9.2, indicating a strong performance against this particular team. His average innings pitched and outs also support a high strikeout likelihood, with home and against opponent averages surpassing the overall averages. Additionally, Strider is on a hit streak both overall and at home, which suggests he's in good form. Therefore, based on Strider's past performance and current form, the bet on him achieving over 4.5 strikeouts is statistically sound.

Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 0.5 on Bryson Stott for stolen bases is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. His last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall, dropping to 0 when playing away. This trend is consistent against the Atlanta Braves, where his stolen base average is only 0.2. Furthermore, Stott has not been caught stealing in the last five games, indicating that he is not attempting to steal bases frequently. Despite his current hit streaks, these do not necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, the likelihood of Stott stealing a base in this game, especially as an away player, is statistically low, making the under 0.5 bet a sound decision.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro