Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Daniel Turner is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +17.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 10:04PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Goals
Over 0.5
-128 (1.78) · $100→$178
+17.8% Edge
Melbourne Demons
@
Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sun 18 May, 5:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Implied Probability
56.2%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Goals | 74.0% | — | 56.2% | 1.35 | +17.8% |
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Daniel Turner (Narrm) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-128)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Placeholder API response for model: gpt-3.5-turbo
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Betting angles
Markets & formGoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.3avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.3 · hi 4 · lo 0
Daniel Turner has a goals high of 4 in AFL.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
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Daniel Turner (Narrm) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daniel Turner is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.8% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions on Sunday 18 May at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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