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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Noemie Brochant is Under 4.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 61%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +8.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 2:28PM UTC
WNBA

Noemie Brochant

WNBA

+8.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 4.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+8.3% Edge
Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics
CareFirst Arena, Washington · Indoor
Sun 9 Aug, 7:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
61.5%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+8.3%
Predicted Value
4.8 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points61.5%53.2%2.00+8.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Noemie Brochant Under 4.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Noemie Brochant Under 4.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The game is at CareFirst Arena in Washington. Our model expects Noemie Brochant to finish with about 4.8 points. The line for this one is 4.5. Our number sits above that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Washington Mystics Points 4.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Connecticut Sun Points 6.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Atlanta Dream Points 5.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
04 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Chicago Sky 3-Pointers Pending
04 Aug 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Chicago Sky Points Pending
22 Jul 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Los Angeles Sparks Points Pending

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About This Player

Noemie Brochant is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noemie Brochant is Under 4.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics on Sunday 9 August at CareFirst Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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