Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marina Mabrey is Over 3.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 58%, implied 53%, edge +4.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 23, 2:07PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Assists
Over 3.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+4.9% Edge
Portland Fire
@
Toronto Tempo
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 725 of 958 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Mabrey (adductor) won't play Sunday against the Aces.
updated Aug 22, 11:55PM UTC
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How often this wins
58 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 58.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +4.9%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Assists | 58.1% | — | 53.2% | 2.00 | +4.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/4 |
| Last 10 games | 2/4 |
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Marina Mabrey Over 3.5 Assists (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing Toronto Tempo play Portland Fire in the WNBA on Saturday 22 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Marina Mabrey Over 3.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model expects Marina Mabrey to finish with about 3.8 assists. The line for this one is 3.5. Our number sits above that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Marina Mabrey is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marina Mabrey is Over 3.5 on Assists. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Fire vs Toronto Tempo on Saturday 22 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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