Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Maria Conde is Over 9.5 on player_points_alternate.
On the player_points_alternate market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +10.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 3, 9:12AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
player_points_alternate
Over 9.5
-135 (1.74)
+10.2% Edge
Toronto Tempo
@
Golden State Valkyries
Chase Center, Golden State · Indoor
Mon 3 Aug, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
57.5%
Predicted Value
12.4 player_points_alternate
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| player_points_alternate | 67.7% | — | 57.5% | 1.48 | +10.2% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Maria Conde Over 9.5 Points (-135)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing Golden State Valkyries play Toronto Tempo in the WNBA on Monday 3 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Maria Conde Over 9.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.40 if it lands. The game is at Chase Center in Golden State. Our model expects Maria Conde to finish with about 12.4 points. The line for this one is 9.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Maria Conde is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Maria Conde is Over 9.5 on player_points_alternate. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Tempo vs Golden State Valkyries on Monday 3 August at Chase Center, Golden State. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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