Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Maria Conde is Under 4.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 7, 8:41AM UTC
WNBA
Maria Conde
WNBA
Maria Conde has one live pick today: Rebounds Under 4.5 that pays $158 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds
Under 4.5
-172 (1.58) · $100→$158
Value call
New York Liberty
@
Toronto Tempo
Coca-Cola Coliseum, Toronto · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 7:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,501 of 3,328 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Conde (back) is out for Thursday's game against the Sun.
updated Sep 24, 6:24PM UTC · 12d old
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How often this wins
74 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 74.3% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +11.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rebounds | 74.3% | — | 63.3% | 1.68 | +11.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Maria Conde Under 4.5 Rebounds (-172)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing Toronto Tempo play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Monday 21 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Maria Conde Under 4.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.80 if it lands. The game is at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto. Our model expects Maria Conde to finish with about 3.2 rebounds. The line for this one is 4.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
New York Liberty @ Toronto Tempo |
Rebounds |
4.5 |
Under |
-172 |
✓ HIT |
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Maria Conde is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Maria Conde is Under 4.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo on Sunday 20 September at Coca-Cola Coliseum, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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