Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Maria Conde is Over 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 63%, implied 51%, edge +12.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 24, 3:20AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Points
Over 9.5
-103 (1.97) · $100→$197
+12.1% Edge
Toronto Tempo
@
Dallas Wings
College Park Center, Dallas · Indoor
Thu 13 Aug, 12:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 771 of 1,043 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Conde (calf) is out for Sunday's game against Las Vegas.
updated Aug 23, 12:02AM UTC · 1d old
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How often this wins
63 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 62.9% · the book's price implies 50.8% · gap +12.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points | 62.9% | — | 50.8% | 1.59 | +12.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Maria Conde Over 9.5 Points (-103)
Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing Dallas Wings play Toronto Tempo in the WNBA on Thursday 13 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Maria Conde Over 9.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.70 if it lands. The game is at College Park Center in Dallas. Our model expects Maria Conde to finish with about 11.8 points. The line for this one is 9.5. Our number sits above that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Maria Conde is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Maria Conde is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Tempo vs Dallas Wings on Thursday 13 August at College Park Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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