Kia Nurse has one live pick today: under 10.5 points that pays $184 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
75 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 74.5% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap +20.2%.
Latest Model PickFree
Toronto Tempo
@
Phoenix Mercury
Kia Nurse
under 10.5 points
Points
Under 10.5
-119 (1.84) · $100→$184
Value call
HIGHWins about 75 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.40
Odds-119
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kia Nurse is Under 10.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 75%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 9:15PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,527 of 3,354 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Points | 74.5% | — | 54.3% | 1.96 | +20.2% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 8/10 |
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Kia Nurse Under 10.5 Points (-119)
Odds available at betonlineag at time of publishing Phoenix Mercury play Toronto Tempo in the WNBA on Sunday 30 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kia Nurse Under 10.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. The game is at PHX Arena in Phoenix. Our model expects Kia Nurse to finish with about 7.6 points. The line for this one is 10.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Kia Nurse is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kia Nurse is Under 10.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Tempo vs Phoenix Mercury on Saturday 29 August at PHX Arena, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.