On Tuesday 22 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +14.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +14.5 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics are on a roll, winning 4 out of their last 6 games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points a game this season. Meanwhile, the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only 1 of their last 6 and scoring just 78.5 points a game. Despite this, we think the Sun can keep the game close enough to cover a spread of 14.5 points. The Mystics may win, but the final margin could be around 10.5 points, making this a solid chance for Connecticut. The biggest risk here is the Mystics' strong recent form, which could push the score further apart. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 160.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The bet needs the total points scored by the Washington Mystics and the Connecticut Sun to go over 160.5. The Mystics are on a roll, winning 6 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points per game. Meanwhile, the Sun are struggling, winning only 2 of their last 10 and scoring just 78.5 points per game. This matchup feels promising since the Mystics are likely to push the pace, but be aware that the Sun might keep it closer than expected since both teams are performing at different levels. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics are on a roll, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring a solid 83.5 points each game this season. Shakira Austin has been playing well, but the stats suggest she might not rack up many assists against the Connecticut Sun. The Sun have really struggled lately, winning just 2 of their last 10 games and scoring only 77.4 points on average. This matchup is tricky because both teams are quite close in terms of performance lately. Austin has a good chance of staying under 2.5 assists, especially with the Sun's defense. While there's a chance she could surprise us, the numbers lean toward a low assist game for her today. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Aaliyah Edwards Over 16.5 Points and Rebounds (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The odds for Aaliyah Edwards to get over 16.5 points and rebounds look promising. The Washington Mystics have been on a roll lately, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring an impressive 83.5 points on average. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 games and averaging just 77.4 points. This gap in scoring could mean more opportunities for Edwards to rack up both points and rebounds. However, there's a bit of a concern since the Sun's defense can sometimes surprise teams, and they might tighten up when it matters. Still, with the Mystics' strong recent form, it's likely that Edwards will find ways to contribute significantly. Overall, it's a solid pick that could pay off well if the game goes as expected. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
For Sonia Citron to score under 20.5 points and assists tonight, she needs to have a quieter game. The Washington Mystics are playing well, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring a solid 83.5 points each game. In contrast, the Connecticut Sun has struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 and averaging just 77.4 points, which could limit Citron's chances to rack up stats. Citron might face a tough challenge since the Mystics are doing well in defense and rebounding. They've been blocking more shots than usual, which can disrupt scoring opportunities. With Connecticut's recent form, there's a good chance this bet will hit, but the risk is that Citron could have an unexpected breakout game, making it a close call. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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