Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks (A'ja Wilson Key Factor): Full Match Breakdown & Bets

For the Sparks to cover the spread, they need to keep the game close. The Aces have been strong lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 91 points a game, but the Sparks have shown some signs of life, winning 3 of their last 6. With the Aces being at home and playing well, it's a tough challenge for Los Angeles. However, the Sparks have managed to score 85 points a game recently, and if they can step up their game, they might just keep it closer than expected. One risk is that Las Vegas has been dominant overall this season. It was priced at -169 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Under 29.5 Points and Assists (-110)

A'ja Wilson has been a key player for the Las Vegas Aces, but her recent scoring and assist numbers suggest she might not reach the combined total we're looking at. In her last 10 home games, she has been averaging around 26 points and assists combined. That's just under our target of 29.5, which makes this bet interesting. The Los Angeles Sparks have struggled lately, winning only 3 of their last 10 games. With their defense allowing a fair amount of points, A'ja might not need to push hard to win. However, it's worth noting that the Sparks are always a tough matchup, and she could have a tough time if they ramp up their defense. Keep an eye on how this unfolds! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nneka Ogwumike Under 26.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

The Las Vegas Aces have been scoring a ton lately, averaging 91 points a game, while the Los Angeles Sparks have struggled to hit that mark, scoring only 85 points in their last 20 games. Nneka Ogwumike is a solid player, but even she might find it tough against the Aces' strong defense. With her average of 9 rebounds at home and her points not always matching up, we think she might not reach the combined total of 26.5 points and rebounds today. Ogwumike has been good, but there's a real chance she could fall short in this matchup. The Sparks have only won 3 of their last 10 games, and that could affect her performance. Betting on her to score under 26.5 points and rebounds seems like a smart move here. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rae Burrell Over 18.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Rae Burrell has been on fire lately, scoring an average of 17.5 points a game at night. With her also getting about 3.6 assists per game, it adds up to a solid chance for her to hit over 18.5 points and assists combined against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Aces are scoring a whopping 91 points a game, which means plenty of opportunities for Burrell to rack up her numbers. While the Sparks have struggled, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, Burrell's strong night performance gives hope here. The most concrete risk is that the Sparks defense can sometimes surprise, but Burrell's recent form makes this bet worth a look. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.