Seattle Storm vs Dallas Wings Prediction & Picks (Paige Bueckers Key Factor): Full Match Breakdown & Bets

The Dallas Wings are on fire, winning six games in a row and averaging a high score of 89.1 points per game. Meanwhile, the Seattle Storm have struggled lately, winning only one of their last six matches. Their tough schedule hasn't helped, either, as they've faced the hardest competition in the league. This matchup could be a test for both teams, especially since the Storm defense will need to step up. With both teams' recent performances, we think the total points will be under 170.5. The Wings score well, but the Storm's struggles could keep the overall score lower than expected. The most concrete risk here is that the Wings' scoring power could surprise us, but with Seattle's tough times, we feel the under is a smart bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Paige Bueckers Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+110)

Paige Bueckers has been on fire lately, helping the Dallas Wings win six games in a row. But when it comes to shooting threes, she averages just under two per game at home. In this matchup against the Seattle Storm, who have struggled a lot this season, I think she might not hit that mark. The Storm have faced the toughest schedule lately, which makes scoring even more challenging. Since Bueckers puts up fewer threes when playing away, there's a solid chance she'll stay under 1.5 made threes tonight. Just remember, it's always possible she surprises us. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jessica Shepard Under 10.5 Rebounds (-106)

Jessica Shepard has been playing well lately, but her stats show she might not grab too many rebounds against the Seattle Storm. The Storm have had a tough time this season, winning just 2 out of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Wings are on a hot streak, winning 7 of their last 10 and scoring nearly 90 points a game. With the Storm struggling, it's likely they will rely more on their guards for scoring rather than focusing on rebounding. Betting on Jessica Shepard to grab under 10.5 rebounds seems wise. She averages around 4.8 assists and 14.8 points at night, which means she might be more involved in scoring instead of crashing the boards. One risk is that the Storm might play a closer game, leading to more opportunities for rebounds. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dominique Malonga Over 15.5 Points (+105)

Seattle Storm play Dallas Wings in the WNBA on Thursday 24 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dominique Malonga Over 15.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. It is on at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Seattle Storm v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.