On Wednesday 23 September 2026, Indiana Fever play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Indiana Fever +1.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever need to keep up their strong scoring to cover the point spread against the Minnesota Lynx. They've been on a roll lately, winning seven of their last ten games and scoring an impressive average of 97 points per game this season. The Fever have shown they can compete well, especially at home. The Lynx are also doing well, winning seven of their last ten and averaging 91.3 points per game. The matchup is really close, with our numbers showing it could go either way. The biggest risk is how evenly matched they are, as the teams have very similar winning records this season. Still, the Fever have the home advantage and are hitting their stride. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 197.5 Total Points (-278)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx both have solid recent records, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, both teams are scoring lower than usual, with the Fever hitting around 97 points and the Lynx at about 91 points per game. The combined total for this matchup is likely to be under 197.5 points, which our numbers strongly suggest. One risk is that both teams can score well when they're hot, but given their recent form, this total seems too high. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Kayla McBride is on a scoring roll, and with the Indiana Fever winning 8 of their last 10 games, they are in great form. McBride has been a key player in this run, so betting on her to score over 18.5 points makes sense. The Fever are scoring an impressive 101.1 points a game lately, which should give McBride plenty of chances to find the basket. The Minnesota Lynx have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10, so this could be a close matchup. Keep an eye on her performance, as that's where the risk lies. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever are on a hot streak, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 101.1 points per game over their last 20. They have also won 4 of their last 6, showing they know how to find the basket. However, Aliyah Boston might struggle to hit over 15.5 points today. The Fever's recent performance includes a dip in offensive rebounds, which could limit scoring opportunities for her. On the other hand, the Minnesota Lynx have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They are scoring 91.3 points a game this season, but they can be tough defensively. With Boston's recent numbers not matching her high potential, there's a decent risk she might fall short of that 15.5 points mark today. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The odds for Courtney Williams to score under 13.5 points look pretty appealing. Our data shows that Indiana Fever has been doing well lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 101.1 points a game on average over their last 20. On the flip side, Minnesota Lynx has also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10, but their scoring average is lower at 91.3 points per game this season. The risk here is how closely matched these two teams are, making this a tough call. Courtney Williams has been scoring well, but given the overall competition and the pressure of a close game, there's a real chance she might not hit that number. It's definitely worth keeping an eye on how both teams play today. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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