On Thursday 24 September 2026, New York Liberty play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream to Win, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Atlanta Dream to Win (-120)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Atlanta Dream come into this game on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 matches and 5 of their last 6. They've faced some tough teams, with a schedule that ranks in the middle among all clubs, but they've handled it well. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6, making this a close matchup. Both teams are performing well, but the Liberty have faced a slightly tougher schedule. The Dream have a little more rest and less travel, which might give them a slight advantage. The most concrete risk is that both teams are in great form, so it could easily go either way. Still, the numbers suggest the Dream have a good chance to come out on top here. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 183 Total Points (-213)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Both teams are playing well lately, with New York Liberty winning 7 of their last 10 games and Atlanta Dream winning 8 of their last 10. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents overall, which might make them battle-tested. Our numbers suggest the total points for this game will be much lower than the line, around 162.5. The biggest risk is both teams being in good form, so they could surprise us with a high-scoring game. Still, betting on under 183 seems smart based on their recent performances and tough schedules. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Allisha Gray Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Allisha Gray has been scoring well lately, especially during the day when she averages over 23 points. She also tends to assist a lot more when the sun is up, showing her ability to get open for three-pointers. With the New York Liberty facing the Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center, Gray has a good chance to hit over 1.5 three-pointers, especially since the Liberty have been playing tough teams this season. The main risk here is that both teams are on a hot streak, winning most of their recent games. Still, Gray's daytime performance looks promising, and the odds of +110 are worth considering. If she finds her rhythm, she could easily knock down those shots and help you cheer for a win! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Naz Hillmon Over 7.5 Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
New York Liberty play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Thursday 24 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Naz Hillmon Over 7.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 18.5 Points and Assists (-106)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
For Angel Reese to score over 18.5 points and assists tonight, she needs to keep up her strong performance. In her last ten night games, she has averaged almost 24 combined points and assists, showing she can really shine when the lights are on. The New York Liberty have also been in good form, winning 7 of their last 10 games, which might help create a high-scoring atmosphere. On the other hand, the Atlanta Dream, while also hot with 8 wins in their last 10, have faced slightly easier opponents. Angel has performed better at night, but the Dream's defense could be a challenge. Still, with her recent numbers, she's likely to hit that mark. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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