New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks (Angel Reese Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The Atlanta Dream have been on a hot streak, winning 8 out of their last 10 games, including 5 of their last 6. They're playing against the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, who also have a solid record but faced tougher opponents recently. The Liberty's schedule has been one of the hardest in the league, which could make this matchup more challenging for them. While both teams are performing well, the Dream might have a slight advantage here. They have been playing more consistently against less challenging teams. A key factor to watch is how the Dream's players handle this away game, as they've traveled a bit further compared to the Liberty. Still, the Dream's current form gives them a good chance to come out on top. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 184.5 Total Points (-233)

Both the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream are in great form, winning 7 of their last 10 and 8 of their last 10 games, respectively. However, the Liberty have faced tougher opponents lately, which may help keep the score down. Our numbers suggest the total points will be around 162.5, so betting on under 184.5 seems smart. A solid risk is that both teams have been scoring well, so they might surprise us with a high-scoring game. Still, the numbers lean heavily toward a lower total here. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Over 17.5 Points (+110)

For Angel Reese to score over 17.5 points tonight, she just needs to keep up her strong performance at home. She averages 18.5 points in home games, which shows she definitely knows how to find the basket when playing in front of her fans. Plus, the New York Liberty have been in good form, winning four out of their last six games. While the Atlanta Dream have also been playing well, winning five of their last six, they have faced a slightly easier schedule than the Liberty. This makes it a bit tricky, but Angel has shown she can rise to the occasion. Just remember, if she can't find her rhythm early, it could be tough for her to hit that over. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Allisha Gray Over 2.5 Assists (-110)

Allisha Gray has been playing really well lately, helping the Atlanta Dream win 8 of their last 10 games. This matchup against the New York Liberty looks good for her to get over 2.5 assists. The Liberty have faced some tough teams recently, which could mean more chances for Gray to set up her teammates. However, the Liberty's defense is solid, so that's something to watch. Overall, the signs point to Gray having a good shot at hitting this mark, but it won't be easy. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+111)

Jonquel Jones has been strong at home, but there's a chance she could struggle in this game. While she averages over 2 three-pointers made when playing at Barclays Center, her overall numbers show she relies on her scoring more than usual when under pressure. The New York Liberty have a solid defense, and they might focus on limiting her shooting opportunities. Even though Jonquel has shown she can hit threes, the matchup against the Atlanta Dream could make it tough for her to get open looks. Plus, both teams have been winning lately, which could lead to a more intense game. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.