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UFC predictions for Sunday, November 1: the model backs Tom Nolan

4 UFC fights on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Tom Nolan to win, a HIGH-confidence call. 2 more fights have a HIGH-confidence pick.

By Tyler Brennan · Published Oct 31, 12:00 AM UTC · Updated Oct 31, 9:30 AM UTC

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov

Sun Nov 1
Our pick: Farman Hasanov to win+241

LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers

Farman Hasanov is the underdog in this fight against Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, but he has a real chance to win.

Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith

Sun Nov 1
Our pick: Jacobe Smith to win-256

HIGH — about an 8 in 10 chance by our numbers

Jacobe Smith has been looking strong lately, and he's got a solid style that mixes striking and grappling well.

Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan

Sun Nov 1
Top pick: Tom Nolan to win+107

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Tom Nolan needs to outsmart Renato Moicano and find a way to win this fight.

Yana Santos vs Luana Santos

Sun Nov 1
Luana Santos at Yana Santos · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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