Today's Top EPL Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Saturday 10/10

When Borussia Monchengladbach faces 1. FC Köln, all eyes should be on Daiki Hashioka. This matchup presents a unique opportunity for the young talent to break through. Although his recent form shows a modest average of 0.2 shots on target per away game, his ability to find space and exploit defensive gaps can’t be overlooked. Köln's defense has shown vulnerability, especially against players who are hungry to make an impact. While his hit rate has been low in recent games, sometimes it only takes one chance for a player to turn things around. With the odds stacked favorably, backing Hashioka for over 0.5 shots on target feels like a savvy play in this Bundesliga clash.

Andrew Privett (Charlotte FC) Over 0.5 Shots (+290)

When it comes to Andrew Privett, he's a player who's been quietly making his mark at home, and this matchup against FC Dallas could just be the stage he needs. Despite averaging only 0.2 shots in his last five home games, there's a spark of potential here. With a current hit rate at home of 6 out of his last 20 matches, he’s shown he can capitalize on opportunities when they arise. The key lies in the matchup dynamics—Charlotte FC will be keen to assert themselves at home, and with Dallas sometimes struggling defensively, Privett could find pockets of space to unleash a shot.

Ricardo Mangas (Monza) Over 2.5 Shots (+2000)

As Monza heads to the capital to face Lazio, all eyes should be on Ricardo Mangas and his potential to exceed 2.5 shots. While his recent form might not scream "goal machine," there’s a hidden narrative here. Playing away, he averages 0.8 shots per game, which, while modest, suggests he's willing to take a crack when the opportunity arises. Lazio's defensive vulnerabilities could open the door for Mangas to exploit space, especially since they tend to concede shots in high-stakes matches. Moreover, with Monza needing points, expect a more aggressive approach, pushing Mangas into more advanced positions. The stage is set for him to break out of his recent slump. This match could easily see him stepping up, challenging the Lazio backline, and ultimately justifying that over 2.5 shots bet. The odds favor a little gamble here—let’s back Mangas to find his shooting boots on this crucial outing!

Josh Doig (Sassuolo) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+3500)

As Sassuolo gears up to host AC Milan, eyes will be on Josh Doig, a player who could surprise in the anytime goalscorer market. While his recent form shows a modest average of 0.2 goals per game, the beauty of this matchup lies in the unpredictability that often accompanies high-stakes encounters. With Sassuolo at home, Doig will enjoy the support of a passionate crowd, which can elevate performance levels. Despite not hitting the net recently, he’s demonstrated the ability to get into scoring positions, averaging 0.8 shots per game overall. Given that AC Milan has shown vulnerability defensively this season, the opportunity is ripe for Doig to capitalize. At a price of 36, the risk is minimal, and betting on Doig to find the net could yield a thrilling payoff. In a game where anything can happen, this bet is worth considering for those looking for a value play!

Sinaly Diomande (AJ Auxerre) Over 0.5 Assists (+3300)

When Auxerre heads to Rennes, keep an eye on Sinaly Diomande to sneak in an assist. While his recent stats might not sing with flair, there's an intriguing narrative at play. Diomande's away assist average stands at 0.2, hinting that he can deliver when the pressure's on in enemy territory. The matchup against Rennes, who often leave space in their defensive third, presents a ripe opportunity for him to connect with attackers eager to capitalize on any defensive lapses. With Rennes' tendency to dominate possession, Diomande may find himself needing to unexpectedly step up. Even without a hit streak, Auxerre's road games often spark creativity, and based on the model's prediction, the potential for him to break through is tantalizing. Don't overlook Diomande—an assist is well within reach, especially in a matchup ripe for surprise moments.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.