Here are our AFL picks for Wednesday 9 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 17.5 Disposals, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 17.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 17.5 Disposals. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 17.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 17.5 Disposals. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 12.5 Disposals (-110)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 12.5 Disposals. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 12.5 Disposals (-110)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 12.5 Disposals. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-161)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 2.5 player_marks_over. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Noah Answerth (Brisbane Lions) Over 11.5 Disposals (-109)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Noah Answerth (Brisbane Lions) Over 11.5 Disposals. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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