Here are our MLS picks for Monday 2 November 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 4.5 Total Goals, priced at -213 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Nashville SC hosts the New York Red Bulls, a low-scoring affair seems likely. Nashville's home form has been impressive; they're averaging 2.6 goals at home while conceding a mere 0. The Red Bulls have struggled offensively, netting just 1 goal per away match in their last five. Both teams' recent xG numbers paint a similar picture of underwhelming attacking efficiency, indicating that we might not see fireworks on the scoreboard. Nashville's defense, allowing just 0.4 goals over their last five games, coupled with the Red Bulls' tendency to stutter in front of goal, suggests that the total goals will remain well under 4.5. With the stakes high and both teams prioritizing defense, backing the 'Under' looks like a savvy play. Expect a tactical battle rather than a goal fest in this matchup.
Preston North End vs Sheffield United: Both Teams To Score: No (+125)
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Preston North End hosts Sheffield United, the case for betting on "No" for both teams to score is compelling. Preston has struggled in attack, averaging a mere 0.4 goals over their last five matches, and their home form paints an even grimmer picture, with just 0.8 goals scored at Deepdale. Meanwhile, they've conceded an alarming 2.4 goals per game during this stretch, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. On the flip side, Sheffield United has been more productive away, averaging 1.6 goals in their last five, but they face a Preston side that's historically tough to break down at home, reflected in their recent encounters. With Preston's xG hovering near zero and their lack of attacking output, it's hard to see both sides finding the net. Given these trends, a cautious approach points towards a low-scoring affair, making the "No" option for both teams to score a sound pick.
West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton: Southampton Draw No Bet (-116)
Odds correct at time of publishing
When West Bromwich Albion hosts Southampton, recent form suggests that the visitors hold the upper hand. Southampton's away record is particularly impressive, racking up four wins in their last five matches, with a solid scoring average of 1.4 goals per game. Their defense has also been tight, conceding just 1.2 goals on average while managing to keep the opposition's xG low. West Brom, on the other hand, has struggled against Southampton in recent encounters, failing to win any of the last five meetings. They've shown vulnerability at home, averaging only 1.2 goals scored in their last five home games. With Southampton's attacking prowess and West Brom's inability to get the better of them, placing a Draw No Bet on Southampton feels like a savvy move. The odds reflect a strong likelihood of Southampton at least salvaging a point, making this bet a compelling choice.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Atlanta United hosts Toronto FC, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter where both teams are likely to find the back of the net. Atlanta's recent home form has been shaky, managing just one win in five, but they've consistently scored, averaging 1.6 goals per game at home. However, they've conceded an alarming 2.8 goals, hinting at defensive frailties. On the flip side, Toronto has shown resilience on the road, even if their scoring hasn't been prolific. They average 1 goal away but face an Atlanta side that struggles to keep clean sheets. With previous matchups seeing both teams score in four of their last five meetings, it's hard to ignore the trends. Factor in Atlanta's offensive firepower and Toronto's capability to exploit defensive gaps, and the forecast for goals looks promising. This match screams both teams to score!
Bragantino-SP vs Santos: Both Teams To Score: No (+140)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Bragantino-SP prepares to host Santos, the signs point to a low-scoring affair. Santos has struggled significantly on the road, managing just one win in their last five matches away from home, with their offense averaging a mere 1.2 goals per game. Even more concerning, they've posted an xG of zero in their last five outings, indicating a complete lack of attacking threat. Bragantino, while not defensive stalwarts, have shown resilience at home, often stifling opponents. With Santos failing to convert chances and Bragantino's solid defensive record, the likelihood of both teams finding the net seems slim. In a matchup where both sides seem to struggle offensively, the bet on "No" for both teams to score feels like a savvy play.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As the Portland Timbers gear up to face the Houston Dynamo, the recent form of both teams offers intriguing insights. The Dynamo have shown resilience in their last five matches, with a solid record of 1-4-0. Their struggle for consistency is offset by their favorable head-to-head against Portland, where they hold a 3-1-1 record in recent encounters. Portland's home performance has been decent but not dominant, averaging just 1.8 goals per game while allowing the same to opponents. Houston, meanwhile, has managed to keep things tight defensively, conceding only 1.4 goals per match lately. They might just capitalize on the Timbers' inconsistencies and claim a crucial away victory.
That is the model's read on today's MLS card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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