Today's EPL Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds

As 1. FC Koln prepares to host Bayer Leverkusen, the momentum is unmistakably in Koln's favor. They've recently discovered their rhythm, with a solid home record that showcases their ability to perform under pressure. Notably, Leverkusen has struggled on the road, managing just one win in their last five away games while conceding an average of 2.8 goals. When we dive into the numbers, Koln's attacking prowess shines through; they're regularly creating chances and finishing with an xG that suggests they could break through Leverkusen's shaky defense. With Leverkusen's inconsistency evident - reflected by their lack of goals and high expected goals against - betting on Koln to cover a 1.5 handicap feels like a smart play. The stage is set for Koln to capitalize on Leverkusen's vulnerabilities and secure a convincing home victory.

Genoa vs AC Milan: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-110)

As Genoa welcomes AC Milan, expect a dynamic clash with plenty of corner action. Genoa's home form has been impressive lately, averaging nearly 12 shots per game, and they've consistently pushed forward, generating around 2 corners on average. Milan, on the other hand, has a potent away attack, creating over 13 shots per match and averaging a solid 2.6 corners. Both teams are hungry for points, with Genoa having a strong home record and Milan eager to maintain pressure on the top four. Given their recent performances and the attacking philosophies of both sides, the match is likely to be end-to-end, leading to a flurry of corners. With current trends pointing towards a high corner count, betting on over 8.5 in this contest feels like a savvy play. Expect the flags to flutter frequently as these two battle for supremacy.

Genoa vs AC Milan: Over 9.5 Total Corners (+146)

As Genoa takes on AC Milan, the dynamics suggest a lively contest that could easily see plenty of corners. Genoa has been particularly proactive at home, averaging nearly 12 attempts per match in their last five games, which has resulted in a steady stream of corners. They tend to push forward, and while their scoring hasn't always reflected their aggression, their corner count certainly does. On the flip side, Milan's away fixtures have seen them rack up an impressive 13.6 shots per game, which translates to opportunities for corners as well. With both teams averaging around 10 corners combined in their recent matchups, the stage is set for a corner bonanza. Given the attacking styles of both sides and their recent form, betting on over 9.5 corners feels like not just a good bet, but a smart one. Expect action at both ends!

Celta Vigo vs Levante: Over 9.5 Total Corners (+142)

As Celta Vigo prepares to host Levante, the stage is set for a corner-kick bonanza. Celta has been consistently aggressive at home, averaging 11.2 shots and generating 4.6 corners in their last five matches. Their attacking prowess has led to a solid average of 1.6 goals per game at home, coupled with a rock-solid defense allowing just 0.8 goals to opponents. On the flip side, Levante's struggles on the road show a team that's been pinned back, conceding 1.2 goals and allowing 1.8 corners per game. With Celta's corner creation and Levante's defensive vulnerabilities, it's hard to see this matchup staying under 9.5 corners. Given the trends and stats, betting on over 9.5 corners feels like a smart move. Expect a thrilling contest that keeps the corner flags busy!

Celta Vigo vs Levante: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-120)

As Celta Vigo faces Levante this Sunday, expect a lively affair that could lead to more than 8.5 corners. Celta has been aggressive at home, averaging 11.2 shots per game and creating numerous opportunities that result in corners-about 1.2 per match in their last five home outings. With their average opponent scoring just 0.8 goals at Balaidos, it's clear Celta is dominating the ball. On the flip side, Levante has struggled defensively, especially away, allowing 1.2 goals per game and facing intense pressure. They've averaged 1.8 corners per match themselves, which shows they are not shy about pushing forward. Given their recent form and the tactical styles of both teams, a match littered with corners feels inevitable, making the 'Over 8.5' bet a compelling option. Expect a flurry of set pieces as both teams seek to seize every scoring opportunity.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.