Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro: Anna Kalinskaya to win the match (+104)
Odds available at betfair_ex_eu at time of publishing
Anna Kalinskaya faces Emma Navarro at US Open on Sunday 6 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Anna Kalinskaya wins the match. It was priced at +104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.40 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Anna Kalinskaya is a strong pick at 2.04 against Emma Navarro due to her superior recent form and serve performance. Kalinskaya boasts a 60% win rate in her last five matches, indicating solid momentum entering this match.
In contrast, Navarro's serve statistics show vulnerability; she allows opponents a 64.3% win rate on her first serve, and her second serve win percentage drops to 43.3%. This highlights a potential breaking point for Kalinskaya, who can capitalize on these weaknesses.
Additionally, Kalinskaya's ability to pressure Navarro on break points will be crucial, especially given Navarro's 60% break point save rate, which is below average.
The model gives Kalinskaya a 75.8% chance of winning, suggesting significant value at the current odds. With her strong serve and recent form, she is poised to outperform Navarro on this hard court surface.