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ATP tennis predictions for Friday, November 6: Under 23.5 games in Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges

4 ATP tennis matches on Friday. The model's strongest pick is Under 23.5 games, a HIGH-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul

Fri Nov 6, 1:00 PM UTC
Our pick: Tommy Paul -1 (they must win by 2 or more games; win by exactly 1 games and your stake comes back)-109

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Tommy Paul needs to win by at least two games against Ben Shelton for this bet to pay off.

Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata

Fri Nov 6, 2:10 PM UTC
Our pick: Rinky Hijikata +1.5 (they can lose by up to 1 games and the bet still wins)+113

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Luca Van Assche and Rinky Hijikata are set for a tight match, and the odds show it's nearly a coin flip.

Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz

Fri Nov 6, 6:00 PM UTC
Carlos Alcaraz at Taylor Fritz · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges

Fri Nov 6, 7:30 PM UTC
Top pick: Under 23.5 games-130

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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