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Model picks & player props
Arthur Fils
VS
Mariano Navone

Arthur Fils vs Mariano Navone Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 6, 1:40PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Tennis
Thu 6 Aug 2026, 4:30PM
19
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Mariano Navone 4.5 (Game Handicap)
For Arthur Fils vs Mariano Navone (Tennis), model win probability 69.8%, fair odds 1.98, book price -118, model edge +19.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Thu 6 Aug 2026, 4:30PM.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Mariano Navone
+4.5
+ 18 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Mariano NavoneGame HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneGame HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneGame HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneGame HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneSet 2 WinnerPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneSet 1 WinnerPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mariano NavoneSet 1 Game HandicapPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GamesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Mariano Navone on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Mariano Navone
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Arthur Fils

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Mariano Navone

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arthur Fils vs Mariano Navone: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
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Betting angles

6 markets live
Total GamesNext match · Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsOver 18.5 -294
74%model over %
1.44fair price
PickOver 18.5Model74.3%Fair1.44Odds-294ConfidenceHIGH

Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils — Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Over 18.5 at -294, fair price 1.44; our model makes it 74.3% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapNext match · Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsMariano Navone 4.5 -118
70%model cover %
1.98fair price
PickMariano Navone 4.5Model69.8%Fair1.98Odds-118ConfidenceHIGH

Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Mariano Navone 4.5 at -118, fair price 1.98; our model makes it 69.8% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerNext match · Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsMariano Navone set 1 +200
3.17fair price
PickMariano Navone set 1Model45.2%Fair3.17Odds+200ConfidenceLONG-SHOT

Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils — Set 1 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Mariano Navone set 1 at +200, fair price 3.17; our model makes it 45.2% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerNext match · Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsMariano Navone set 2 +205
3.21fair price
PickMariano Navone set 2Model45.2%Fair3.21Odds+205ConfidenceLONG-SHOT

Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils — Set 2 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Mariano Navone set 2 at +205, fair price 3.21; our model makes it 45.2% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesNext match · Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsOver 7.5 -833
91%model over %
1.20fair price
PickOver 7.5Model90.7%Fair1.20Odds-833ConfidenceHIGH

Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Over 7.5 at -833, fair price 1.20; our model makes it 90.7% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapNext match · Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsMariano Navone 1.5 +125
54%model cover %
2.43fair price
PickMariano Navone 1.5Model54.2%Fair2.43Odds+125ConfidenceLEAN

Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Mariano Navone 1.5 at +125, fair price 2.43; our model makes it 54.2% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arthur Fils vs Mariano Navone in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Fils vs Navone, or as Navone vs Fils. The next scheduled game is Thursday 6 August 2026. The model has generated 19 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

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