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Soccer

Saba Goglichidze

Empoli

Value call

Saba Goglichidze (Empoli) has one live pick today: over 0.5 shots on target that pays $1,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
21 in 100
Predicted
0.1 shots on target
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 20.9% · before adjusting for past results 25.3% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap +12.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Monza @ Lazio
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio · Outdoor
Sun 11 Oct, 3:00 PM CEST
Saba Goglichidze
over 0.5 shots on target
Shots on Target Over 0.5 +1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 21 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$120.00 Odds+1100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Saba Goglichidze is Over 0.5 on Shots on Target.
On Shots on Target, our numbers say this bet wins about 21 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 21%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:23PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$2,522 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Target25.3%20.9%8.3%4.79+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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Saba Goglichidze (Watford) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+1100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Monza heads to Lazio, keep an eye on Saba Goglichidze. Despite his recent struggles—averaging just 0.2 shots on target overall and none in his last five away games—this matchup presents a unique opportunity. Lazio's defense can be vulnerable, particularly when they face teams that are willing to take risks. Goglichidze's average of 0.6 overall shots per game hints at his desire to contribute offensively, and while he hasn't been hitting his mark consistently on the road, the stage is set for a breakthrough. With an implied probability suggesting a greater chance than his current form indicates, this prop bet for Goglichidze to secure over 0.5 shots on target has some enticing value. If Monza finds themselves playing on the back foot, it could spur the forward into action, making this a savvy play to consider.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Monza @ Lazio Shots on Target 0.5 Over +1100 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Saba Goglichidze (Empoli) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Saba Goglichidze is Over 0.5 on Shots on Target. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Monza vs Lazio on Sunday 11 October at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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