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Model picks & player props
San Jose Earthquakes
VS
San Diego FC

San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 4:38AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Thu 10 Sep 2026, 2:30AM
15
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
San Jose Earthquakes 4.5 Spread -5000

The model graded 15 markets for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $102 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 10 Sep 2026, 2:30AM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win93.3%
The price says97.0%
Best price-5000
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread San Jose Earthquakes 4.5 High93% chance -5000
Draw No Bet High73% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Lean57% chance —
Moneyline Lean57% chance —
Both Teams to Score Long-shot30% chance —
Spread Long-shot37% chance —
Total Goals High95% chance —
Total Goals High79% chance —
Total Goals Lean45% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
San Diego FC are the model's favourite to beat San Jose Earthquakes, with a 63% chance to win. Kick-off Thu 10 Sep, 2:30AM. Best bet: San Jose Earthquakes 4.5 at -5000.
How they've been scoring this season
San Jose EarthquakesSan Diego FC
Won-lost2-3-33-4-1
Goals scored per game1.41.0
Goals allowed per game1.81.4
On the road / at home1-1-2 away2-1-0 at home
Last 5 gamesDLLDDWDWWL
Their games average 2.8 total goals this season.
From the 8 San Jose Earthquakes and 8 San Diego FC games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 29 bookmakers compared
Winner
Earthquakes4.20+320ESPN BET
Draw4.55+354Kalshi
San Diego FC1.82-122Kalshi
Total goals
Over3.51.96-104Kalshi
Under3.52.00+100Bally Bet

San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC odds by bookmaker

29 books · best price in green
BookEarthquakes winSan Diego FC winSan Diego FC -0.5Over 3.5Under 3.5
BetOnline3.80+2801.79-1271.79-1271.91-1101.86-116
LowVig3.80+2801.79-1271.79-1271.91-1101.86-116
MyBookie4.00+3001.68-1471.67-1491.85-1181.85-118
Bally Bet4.10+3101.68-147—1.78-1282.00+100
betPARX4.10+3101.68-147—1.78-1282.00+100
BetRivers4.10+3101.68-147—1.78-1282.00+100
Casumo4.10+3101.68-147—1.78-1282.00+100
Grosvenor3.90+2901.66-152—1.76-1321.97-103
Kalshi4.00+3001.82-122—1.96-1041.92-108
LeoVegas3.85+2851.67-149—1.80-1251.85-118
Polymarket4.08+3081.89-113—2.06+1061.94-106
William Hill3.80+2801.75-133———
888sport3.80+2801.75-133———
Bet Victor3.80+2801.70-143———

Since the market opened: San Diego FC to win opened 1.61, best now 1.89; the over 3.5 opened 1.80, best now 2.06 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund @ TSG Hoffenheim
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STAKE $100RETURNS $182
Our call on this game: 3 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
San Jose Earthquakes
+4.5
-5000
+ 14 more markets
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All 15 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,565+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Jose EarthquakesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego FCDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego FCHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego FCMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Jose EarthquakesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on San Diego FC
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Jose Earthquakes

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

San Diego FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineSan Jose Earthquakes @ San Diego FC-169
63%San Diego FC win %

San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes moneyline; the model reads San Diego FC's win chance at 63% for this fixture.

San Jose Earthquakes @ San Diego FC — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for San Jose Earthquakes at San Diego FC — 15 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 14 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC — recent results

San Diego FC have won 3 of their last 5 games; San Jose Earthquakes have won 0 of their last 5.

San Diego FC — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–1ORLAway
W3–1LAHome
W1–0LAFCAway
D1–1MINAway
W1–0DALHome
San Jose Earthquakes — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
D1–1ATXAway
D0–0HOUAway
L1–3STLHome
L2–4CINAway
D1–1LAHome

San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: San Diego FC won 0, San Jose Earthquakes won 1.

DateSan Diego FCSan Jose EarthquakesWinner
Apr 503San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes @ San Diego FC — where the money went

Since betting opened on San Jose Earthquakes at San Diego FC, the market has moved away from Under across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Under 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — San Jose Earthquakes▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — San Jose Earthquakes 0.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 3.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — San Diego FC -0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 2.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Draw▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Thursday 10 September 2026. The model has generated 15 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Apr 2026San Diego FC @ San Jose Earthquakes3–0San Jose Earthquakes
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