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Model picks & player props
Soccer
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 10:30 PM ET
Nashville SC
15-4-3 · 3-4-3 awayLDWWW
VS
San Jose Earthquakes
9-6-5 · 4-2-3 at homeWWDWD

Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Picks · Sat 17 Oct

Our model graded 12 markets for Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes and backs Under 3.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $168.

12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 3.5 total goals
Under 3.5 Total Goals
You bet$10 If it wins$16.80Best price-147
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.9%
The price says56.0%

The model graded 12 markets for Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $168 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 17 Oct 2026, 10:30 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 3.5 High61% chance -147
Total Goals Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Spread Members only High94% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot23% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot23% chance Members
Draw No Bet Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
How they've been scoring this season
Nashville SCSan Jose Earthquakes
Won-drawn-lost15-4-39-6-5
Goals scored per game2.21.8
Goals allowed per game0.81.6
On the road / at home3-4-3 away4-2-3 at home
Last 5 gamesLDWWWWWDWD
Their games average 3.2 total goals this season.
From the 22 Nashville SC and 20 San Jose Earthquakes games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Nashville SC about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
San Jose Earthquakesabout 3 in 10$3.53 (+253)$3.40 (+240)
Drawabout 2 in 10$4.09 (+309)$4.00 (+300)
Nashville SCabout 5 in 10$2.12 (+112)$2.00 (+100)

On this match the bookies keep about $7.80 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 35 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
3.5
-147
+ 11 more markets
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All 12 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,932+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nashville SCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Jose EarthquakesDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Draw on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Draw
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Draw
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Nashville SC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

San Jose Earthquakes

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

3 markets live
Draw No BetNashville SC @ San Jose Earthquakes+164

San Jose Earthquakes to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 37%.

Both Teams to ScoreNashville SC @ San Jose Earthquakes+180

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 41% here.

Total GoalsNashville SC @ San Jose EarthquakesUnder +3.5 -147
66%model over %

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC total-goals angle; the model prices Under at 66% here.

Nashville SC @ San Jose Earthquakes — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Nashville SC at San Jose Earthquakes — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes — recent results

San Jose Earthquakes have won 3 of their last 5 games; Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5.

San Jose Earthquakes — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
D1–1COLAway
W3–1PORHome
D2–2LAFCHome
W1–0HOUHome
W3–2SDAway
Nashville SC — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1ATXAway
W2–0TORHome
W3–0CHIHome
D2–2MIAAway
L1–2TORAway

Nashville SC @ San Jose Earthquakes — where the money went

Since betting opened on Nashville SC at San Jose Earthquakes, the market has moved away from Draw across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Draw▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 3.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — San Jose Earthquakes▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Nashville SC▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Saturday 17 October 2026. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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