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Soccer

Ville Koski

Alavés

Value call

Ville Koski (Alavés) has one live pick today: over 0.5 shots that pays $295 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
35 in 100
Predicted
0.3 shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 35.1% · before adjusting for past results 41.3% · the book's price implies 33.9% · gap +1.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Valencia @ Alavés
Tue 15 Sep, 8:00 PM CEST
Ville Koski
over 0.5 shots
Shots Over 0.5 +195 (2.95) · $100→$295
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 35 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$29.50 Odds+195
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ville Koski is Over 0.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 35 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 35%, the price says 34%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 5:27PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$2,522 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots41.3%35.1%33.9%2.85+7.4%

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AI Analysis

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Ville Koski (Alavés) Over 0.5 Shots (+195)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Alavés prepares to host Valencia, all eyes should be on Ville Koski. While his recent numbers may suggest caution—averaging just 0.2 shots both overall and at home—context is everything. Koski’s ability to find space against a Valencia defense that can be shaky at times could open the floodgates. With the home crowd buzzing, players often rise to the occasion, and that’s where Koski thrives. What’s compelling here is not just the numbers, but the opportunity. Alavés will look to assert dominance, and Koski is likely to be at the heart of their attacking play. A hit rate of 33.9% implies that while he might not be a frequent shooter yet, the game dynamics could push that number higher. With the right positioning and a bit of luck, expecting him to break the 0.5 shots barrier feels like a solid bet in this matchup. Keep your eyes peeled; he might just surprise us!

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ville Koski (Alavés) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ville Koski is Over 0.5 on Shots. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is Valencia vs Alavés on Tuesday 15 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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