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Soccer

Fernando Calero

Espanyol

Value call

Fernando Calero (Espanyol) has one live pick today: over 0.5 shots on target that pays $1,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
24 in 100
Predicted
0.1 shots on target
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 24.1% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap +15.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Málaga @ Getafe
Coliseum Alfonso P?rez, Getafe, Community of Madrid · Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep, 2:00 PM CEST
Fernando Calero
over 0.5 shots on target
Shots on Target Over 0.5 +1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 24 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$120.00 Odds+1100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Fernando Calero is Over 0.5 on Shots on Target.
On Shots on Target, our numbers say this bet wins about 24 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 24%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:45PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Target24.1%—8.3%4.16+15.7%

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AI Analysis

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Fernando Calero (Espanyol) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+1100)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the clash between Getafe and Málaga, Fernando Calero’s profile presents an intriguing opportunity for a prop bet on him to register over 0.5 shots on target. While his recent form might not scream "goal threat," Calero’s role as a defender often positions him in crucial set-piece situations. Though he hasn't hit the target yet in his last few outings, we can't overlook Málaga's need to push forward, especially away from home where they tend to average more shots. The dynamics of this match could unlock Calero's potential for at least one meaningful attempt. Given the edge implied by the market, this bet feels like a calculated risk worth taking, especially considering the unpredictability of matches like these. In a game where every shot counts, keeping an eye on Calero could prove profitable.

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Pick History & Track Record

Fernando Calero — 2023 season

Fernando Calero scored 0 goals with 1 assist in 27 La Liga appearances for Espanyol in the 2023 season, from 7 shots (2 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.7.

0
Goals
1
Assists
0.7
xG
7
Shots
2
On target
4
Key passes
27
Apps
1611
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Fernando Calero (Espanyol) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Fernando Calero is Over 0.5 on Shots on Target. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Málaga vs Getafe on Sunday 20 September at Coliseum Alfonso P?rez, Getafe. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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